Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's temperature reached 19.5°C by 10:00 KST on April 26 under clear skies, with hourly forecasts projecting a peak of 24°C near 15:00 amid a high-pressure ridge and light westerly winds fostering strong daytime heating. This aligns with recent warm anomalies—prior days hit 26°C highs—exceeding late-April climatological norms of 18–19°C, driving unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for 20°C or higher based on official station data from Seoul or Incheon International Airport. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen marine layer, sudden cloud cover, or cold front intrusion before afternoon peak, though model ensembles show high stability and no such signals. KMA updates expected hourly through evening resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月26日のソウルの最高気温は?
20℃以上 100.0%
10℃以下 <1%
11℃ <1%
12°C <1%
$242,613 Vol.
$242,613 Vol.
10℃以下
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12°C
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20℃以上
はい
20℃以上 100.0%
10℃以下 <1%
11℃ <1%
12°C <1%
$242,613 Vol.
$242,613 Vol.
10℃以下
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12°C
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20℃以上
はい
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's temperature reached 19.5°C by 10:00 KST on April 26 under clear skies, with hourly forecasts projecting a peak of 24°C near 15:00 amid a high-pressure ridge and light westerly winds fostering strong daytime heating. This aligns with recent warm anomalies—prior days hit 26°C highs—exceeding late-April climatological norms of 18–19°C, driving unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for 20°C or higher based on official station data from Seoul or Incheon International Airport. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen marine layer, sudden cloud cover, or cold front intrusion before afternoon peak, though model ensembles show high stability and no such signals. KMA updates expected hourly through evening resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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