Official meteorological observations from Shanghai weather stations show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 25°C on June 16, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. This reflects verified surface air temperature readings under typical early-summer conditions, including moderate humidity and limited daytime heating amid regional atmospheric patterns. Historical climatology for mid-June supports highs near 25–28°C as a baseline, with minimal deviation from model consensus today. While rare factors like localized microclimate effects or post-observation data revisions could theoretically alter the recorded peak, the overwhelming convergence of station networks makes such shifts improbable before final verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$117,052 Vol.
$117,052 Vol.
2026/06/16
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$117,052 Vol.
$117,052 Vol.
2026/06/16
20°C or below
$254 Vol.
No
21°C
$250 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,072 Vol.
No
23°C
$10,707 Vol.
No
24°C
$22,015 Vol.
No
25°C
$20,914 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$17,418 Vol.
No
27°C
$15,342 Vol.
No
28°C
$11,105 Vol.
No
29°C
$10,164 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$3,811 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Shanghai weather stations show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 25°C on June 16, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. This reflects verified surface air temperature readings under typical early-summer conditions, including moderate humidity and limited daytime heating amid regional atmospheric patterns. Historical climatology for mid-June supports highs near 25–28°C as a baseline, with minimal deviation from model consensus today. While rare factors like localized microclimate effects or post-observation data revisions could theoretically alter the recorded peak, the overwhelming convergence of station networks makes such shifts improbable before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$117,052終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Shanghai weather stations show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 25°C on June 16, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. This reflects verified surface air temperature readings under typical early-summer conditions, including moderate humidity and limited daytime heating amid regional atmospheric patterns. Historical climatology for mid-June supports highs near 25–28°C as a baseline, with minimal deviation from model consensus today. While rare factors like localized microclimate effects or post-observation data revisions could theoretically alter the recorded peak, the overwhelming convergence of station networks makes such shifts improbable before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$117,052終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official meteorological observations from Shanghai weather stations show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 25°C on June 16, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. This reflects verified surface air temperature readings under typical early-summer conditions, including moderate humidity and limited daytime heating amid regional atmospheric patterns. Historical climatology for mid-June supports highs near 25–28°C as a baseline, with minimal deviation from model consensus today. While rare factors like localized microclimate effects or post-observation data revisions could theoretically alter the recorded peak, the overwhelming convergence of station networks makes such shifts improbable before final verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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