**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's June 18 daily maximum centers on the latest forecast models showing persistent overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms, which limit solar heating and keep the peak near 27–28°C.** These conditions suppress daytime temperature rise compared with clearer scenarios, aligning with typical June averages of 27–30°C under humid, plum-rain-influenced patterns. The close spread between 27°C (41.5%) and 28°C (32.5%) reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of any brief cloud breaks or light rain, which can shift the recorded high by 1°C. Official readings from the China Meteorological Administration station network will determine resolution, with traders weighting recent model consensus over longer-term climatology.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$148,716 Vol.
$148,716 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$148,716 Vol.
$148,716 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's June 18 daily maximum centers on the latest forecast models showing persistent overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms, which limit solar heating and keep the peak near 27–28°C.** These conditions suppress daytime temperature rise compared with clearer scenarios, aligning with typical June averages of 27–30°C under humid, plum-rain-influenced patterns. The close spread between 27°C (41.5%) and 28°C (32.5%) reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of any brief cloud breaks or light rain, which can shift the recorded high by 1°C. Official readings from the China Meteorological Administration station network will determine resolution, with traders weighting recent model consensus over longer-term climatology.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問