Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 33°C high in Singapore on March 26 (39.5% implied probability), edging out 32°C (33.5%), driven by the latest NEA forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peak afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 33s amid fair weather intervals. Singapore's equatorial climate features consistent March highs averaging 32.5–33.5°C, but differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, which could cap temps at 32°C if thundery showers intensify, versus urban heat island effects and low wind speeds pushing toward 34°C (14.5%). Ensemble model spread highlights uncertainty, with traders eyeing NEA's evening update for resolution cues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
33°C 41%
32°C 34%
34°C 16%
31°C 9%
$34,901 Vol.
$34,901 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
34%
33°C
41%
34°C
16%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 41%
32°C 34%
34°C 16%
31°C 9%
$34,901 Vol.
$34,901 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
34%
33°C
41%
34°C
16%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 22, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 33°C high in Singapore on March 26 (39.5% implied probability), edging out 32°C (33.5%), driven by the latest NEA forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peak afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 33s amid fair weather intervals. Singapore's equatorial climate features consistent March highs averaging 32.5–33.5°C, but differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, which could cap temps at 32°C if thundery showers intensify, versus urban heat island effects and low wind speeds pushing toward 34°C (14.5%). Ensemble model spread highlights uncertainty, with traders eyeing NEA's evening update for resolution cues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問