Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daily maximum of 37°C in Taipei on June 3 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southwest monsoon flow, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with peak early-summer heating patterns, where radiative warming and limited cloud cover allow surface temperatures to reach seasonal highs near or above the 33–36°C climatological range for early June. Traders view the consensus as robust given consistent model support, though realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon convection, increased humidity suppressing the peak, or minor revisions in observational data from local stations. New forecast updates or real-time surface measurements remain the key variables that could alter positioning before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on June 3?
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$124,447 Vol.
$124,447 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$124,447 Vol.
$124,447 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daily maximum of 37°C in Taipei on June 3 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southwest monsoon flow, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with peak early-summer heating patterns, where radiative warming and limited cloud cover allow surface temperatures to reach seasonal highs near or above the 33–36°C climatological range for early June. Traders view the consensus as robust given consistent model support, though realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon convection, increased humidity suppressing the peak, or minor revisions in observational data from local stations. New forecast updates or real-time surface measurements remain the key variables that could alter positioning before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問