Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm a daytime peak temperature of 24°C on May 4, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid over $200,000 in volume. Persistent cloud cover and occasional showers, as forecasted by CWA models, limited solar heating and capped highs below typical May averages of 28°C, with hourly readings peaking mid-afternoon before cooling under partly cloudy skies. While measurement revisions are possible but rare for settled daily maxima, an unexpected upward adjustment from late data or station recalibration could challenge this positioning, though current evidence strongly supports closure at 24°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on May 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 4?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$338,042 Vol.
$338,042 Vol.
2026/05/04
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$338,042 Vol.
$338,042 Vol.
2026/05/04
17°C or below
$498 Vol.
No
18°C
$747 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,046 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,566 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,131 Vol.
No
22°C
$7,543 Vol.
No
23°C
$12,365 Vol.
No
24°C
$199,953 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$74,664 Vol.
No
26°C
$17,239 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$17,289 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm a daytime peak temperature of 24°C on May 4, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid over $200,000 in volume. Persistent cloud cover and occasional showers, as forecasted by CWA models, limited solar heating and capped highs below typical May averages of 28°C, with hourly readings peaking mid-afternoon before cooling under partly cloudy skies. While measurement revisions are possible but rare for settled daily maxima, an unexpected upward adjustment from late data or station recalibration could challenge this positioning, though current evidence strongly supports closure at 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$338,042終了日
2026/05/04マーケット開始日
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm a daytime peak temperature of 24°C on May 4, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid over $200,000 in volume. Persistent cloud cover and occasional showers, as forecasted by CWA models, limited solar heating and capped highs below typical May averages of 28°C, with hourly readings peaking mid-afternoon before cooling under partly cloudy skies. While measurement revisions are possible but rare for settled daily maxima, an unexpected upward adjustment from late data or station recalibration could challenge this positioning, though current evidence strongly supports closure at 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$338,042終了日
2026/05/04マーケット開始日
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm a daytime peak temperature of 24°C on May 4, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid over $200,000 in volume. Persistent cloud cover and occasional showers, as forecasted by CWA models, limited solar heating and capped highs below typical May averages of 28°C, with hourly readings peaking mid-afternoon before cooling under partly cloudy skies. While measurement revisions are possible but rare for settled daily maxima, an unexpected upward adjustment from late data or station recalibration could challenge this positioning, though current evidence strongly supports closure at 24°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問