**Recent official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather place Tel Aviv’s July 18 high near 30–33°C amid typical midsummer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This range aligns with historical July averages of 30–32°C while allowing for modest daily variability driven by sea-breeze timing and exact peak-hour insolation. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on 34°C (56.5%) and 33°C (30.5%), reflecting model runs that favor the upper half of the expected envelope without signaling an anomalous heat episode. With resolution only two days away, any late adjustment in numerical guidance or observed afternoon maxima will determine whether the peak settles at or above 34°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月18日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
35℃ 100.0%
30°C以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32℃ <1%
$40,778 Vol.
$40,778 Vol.
30°C以下
いいえ
31°C
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33℃
いいえ
34℃
いいえ
35℃
はい
36℃
いいえ
37°C
いいえ
38℃
いいえ
39°C
いいえ
40℃以上
いいえ
35℃ 100.0%
30°C以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32℃ <1%
$40,778 Vol.
$40,778 Vol.
30°C以下
いいえ
31°C
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33℃
いいえ
34℃
いいえ
35℃
はい
36℃
いいえ
37°C
いいえ
38℃
いいえ
39°C
いいえ
40℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Recent official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather place Tel Aviv’s July 18 high near 30–33°C amid typical midsummer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This range aligns with historical July averages of 30–32°C while allowing for modest daily variability driven by sea-breeze timing and exact peak-hour insolation. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on 34°C (56.5%) and 33°C (30.5%), reflecting model runs that favor the upper half of the expected envelope without signaling an anomalous heat episode. With resolution only two days away, any late adjustment in numerical guidance or observed afternoon maxima will determine whether the peak settles at or above 34°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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