Trader consensus on Tel Aviv's March 28 high temperature clusters tightly around 22-25°C, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converging on a peak near 23°C amid mild southerly airflow. Israel's Meteorological Service projects 24°C under partly cloudy skies, while historical late-March averages of 21°C provide baseline context, elevated 2°C by persistent warm winds. Differentiating factors include diurnal solar heating peaking midday versus coastal sea breeze moderation that could shave 1-2°C off southern exposures, with urban heat island effects in Tel Aviv favoring 24-25°C outcomes. Model divergence on cloud timing fuels the close odds, pending final hourly observations from official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月28日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
3月28日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
23℃ 28%
24℃ 22%
22°C 18%
25℃ 18%
17°C以下
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
14%
20°C
15%
21°C
16%
22°C
18%
23℃
28%
24℃
22%
25℃
18%
26°C
15%
27°C以上
4%
23℃ 28%
24℃ 22%
22°C 18%
25℃ 18%
17°C以下
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
14%
20°C
15%
21°C
16%
22°C
18%
23℃
28%
24℃
22%
25℃
18%
26°C
15%
27°C以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Tel Aviv's March 28 high temperature clusters tightly around 22-25°C, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converging on a peak near 23°C amid mild southerly airflow. Israel's Meteorological Service projects 24°C under partly cloudy skies, while historical late-March averages of 21°C provide baseline context, elevated 2°C by persistent warm winds. Differentiating factors include diurnal solar heating peaking midday versus coastal sea breeze moderation that could shave 1-2°C off southern exposures, with urban heat island effects in Tel Aviv favoring 24-25°C outcomes. Model divergence on cloud timing fuels the close odds, pending final hourly observations from official stations.
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