Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and model consensus indicate Tokyo's highest temperature on June 13 will reach 27°C under typical early-summer conditions, with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover supporting gradual daytime warming to that level. Historical climatology shows mid-June maxima averaging 26°C, providing a strong baseline that aligns with current observations and short-range guidance. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability reflects this tight convergence of data. An unexpected cold front, heavier rainfall, or localized measurement variance at official stations could shift the recorded high, though such deviations remain improbable given the stable pattern and proximity to day's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 13?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 13?
27°C 100%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$90,092 Vol.
$90,092 Vol.
2026/06/13
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$90,092 Vol.
$90,092 Vol.
2026/06/13
21°C or below
$1,504 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,623 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,880 Vol.
No
24°C
$10,529 Vol.
No
25°C
$13,587 Vol.
No
26°C
$10,315 Vol.
No
27°C
$11,966 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$15,349 Vol.
No
29°C
$13,528 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,078 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$2,735 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and model consensus indicate Tokyo's highest temperature on June 13 will reach 27°C under typical early-summer conditions, with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover supporting gradual daytime warming to that level. Historical climatology shows mid-June maxima averaging 26°C, providing a strong baseline that aligns with current observations and short-range guidance. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability reflects this tight convergence of data. An unexpected cold front, heavier rainfall, or localized measurement variance at official stations could shift the recorded high, though such deviations remain improbable given the stable pattern and proximity to day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$90,092終了日
2026/06/13マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and model consensus indicate Tokyo's highest temperature on June 13 will reach 27°C under typical early-summer conditions, with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover supporting gradual daytime warming to that level. Historical climatology shows mid-June maxima averaging 26°C, providing a strong baseline that aligns with current observations and short-range guidance. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability reflects this tight convergence of data. An unexpected cold front, heavier rainfall, or localized measurement variance at official stations could shift the recorded high, though such deviations remain improbable given the stable pattern and proximity to day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$90,092終了日
2026/06/13マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and model consensus indicate Tokyo's highest temperature on June 13 will reach 27°C under typical early-summer conditions, with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover supporting gradual daytime warming to that level. Historical climatology shows mid-June maxima averaging 26°C, providing a strong baseline that aligns with current observations and short-range guidance. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability reflects this tight convergence of data. An unexpected cold front, heavier rainfall, or localized measurement variance at official stations could shift the recorded high, though such deviations remain improbable given the stable pattern and proximity to day's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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