Recent forecast model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency show modest disagreement on Tokyo's June 24 daytime high, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–26 °C. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough, combined with variable cloud cover and urban heat-island effects, creates the primary uncertainty range. Ensemble guidance places the most likely maximum near the seasonal normal of roughly 25 °C, yet small shifts in timing of any coastal sea breeze or afternoon convection could easily move the observed high one degree either way. Traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble outputs that will be refreshed within the next 24–48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 24?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 24?
25°C 100%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$98,513 Vol.
$98,513 Vol.
2026/06/24
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$98,513 Vol.
$98,513 Vol.
2026/06/24
20°C or below
$6,006 Vol.
No
21°C
$31,052 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,432 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,008 Vol.
No
24°C
$12,871 Vol.
No
25°C
$21,545 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$8,187 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,411 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,815 Vol.
No
29°C
$638 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$546 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency show modest disagreement on Tokyo's June 24 daytime high, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–26 °C. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough, combined with variable cloud cover and urban heat-island effects, creates the primary uncertainty range. Ensemble guidance places the most likely maximum near the seasonal normal of roughly 25 °C, yet small shifts in timing of any coastal sea breeze or afternoon convection could easily move the observed high one degree either way. Traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble outputs that will be refreshed within the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$98,513終了日
2026/06/24マーケット開始日
Jun 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency show modest disagreement on Tokyo's June 24 daytime high, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–26 °C. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough, combined with variable cloud cover and urban heat-island effects, creates the primary uncertainty range. Ensemble guidance places the most likely maximum near the seasonal normal of roughly 25 °C, yet small shifts in timing of any coastal sea breeze or afternoon convection could easily move the observed high one degree either way. Traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble outputs that will be refreshed within the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$98,513終了日
2026/06/24マーケット開始日
Jun 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent forecast model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency show modest disagreement on Tokyo's June 24 daytime high, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–26 °C. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough, combined with variable cloud cover and urban heat-island effects, creates the primary uncertainty range. Ensemble guidance places the most likely maximum near the seasonal normal of roughly 25 °C, yet small shifts in timing of any coastal sea breeze or afternoon convection could easily move the observed high one degree either way. Traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble outputs that will be refreshed within the next 24–48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問