Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on April 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 29?
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$118,075 Vol.
$118,075 Vol.
2026/04/29
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$118,075 Vol.
$118,075 Vol.
2026/04/29
11°C or below
$6,269 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,452 Vol.
No
13°C
$6,261 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,295 Vol.
No
15°C
$2,421 Vol.
No
16°C
$16,021 Vol.
No
17°C
$6,832 Vol.
No
18°C
$23,951 Vol.
No
19°C
$24,886 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$18,023 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$9,665 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
音量
$118,075終了日
2026/04/29マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 12:11 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$118,075終了日
2026/04/29マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 12:11 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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