Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS, converge on a daily high of 33°C in Wuhan on June 4 under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and moderate humidity. This strong model consensus underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for 33°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions and typical early-June climatology for the region. Minor deviations remain possible if localized urban heat effects or slight timing shifts in peak insolation alter the official reading, though such outcomes appear unlikely given the aligned projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 4?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 4?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$45,253 Vol.
$45,253 Vol.
2026/06/04
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$45,253 Vol.
$45,253 Vol.
2026/06/04
29°C or below
$2,654 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,029 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,935 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,863 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,216 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$5,863 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,530 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,894 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,281 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,053 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$936 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS, converge on a daily high of 33°C in Wuhan on June 4 under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and moderate humidity. This strong model consensus underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for 33°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions and typical early-June climatology for the region. Minor deviations remain possible if localized urban heat effects or slight timing shifts in peak insolation alter the official reading, though such outcomes appear unlikely given the aligned projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$45,253終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS, converge on a daily high of 33°C in Wuhan on June 4 under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and moderate humidity. This strong model consensus underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for 33°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions and typical early-June climatology for the region. Minor deviations remain possible if localized urban heat effects or slight timing shifts in peak insolation alter the official reading, though such outcomes appear unlikely given the aligned projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$45,253終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS, converge on a daily high of 33°C in Wuhan on June 4 under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and moderate humidity. This strong model consensus underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for 33°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions and typical early-June climatology for the region. Minor deviations remain possible if localized urban heat effects or slight timing shifts in peak insolation alter the official reading, though such outcomes appear unlikely given the aligned projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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