Trader consensus clusters around 21-23°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 27, reflecting aligned major weather model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS forecasting peaks in this narrow band amid spring warming. Late March climatology in Wuhan averages 17-19°C highs, but a persistent southerly flow and above-normal temperatures this season—driven by weakened Siberian High pressure—have pushed recent days into the low 20s, differentiating leaders from cooler 20°C (cloudier scenarios) or hotter 24°C+ (unlikely clear-sky amplification). Diurnal variability and urban heat island effects add ~1°C uncertainty, with final NMC observations resolving the tight race; watch 24-hour forecast updates for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
22°C 24%
23°C 22%
21°C 19%
24°C 17%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
8%
20°C
14%
21°C
19%
22°C
24%
23°C
22%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
10%
22°C 24%
23°C 22%
21°C 19%
24°C 17%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
8%
20°C
14%
21°C
19%
22°C
24%
23°C
22%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 21-23°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 27, reflecting aligned major weather model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS forecasting peaks in this narrow band amid spring warming. Late March climatology in Wuhan averages 17-19°C highs, but a persistent southerly flow and above-normal temperatures this season—driven by weakened Siberian High pressure—have pushed recent days into the low 20s, differentiating leaders from cooler 20°C (cloudier scenarios) or hotter 24°C+ (unlikely clear-sky amplification). Diurnal variability and urban heat island effects add ~1°C uncertainty, with final NMC observations resolving the tight race; watch 24-hour forecast updates for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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