The UK Home Office's recent withdrawal of Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation (ETA)—confirmed in reports from BBC and The Guardian—has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on a "Yes" outcome, as the rapper, formerly Kanye West, is officially blocked from entering Britain due to his history of antisemitic remarks deemed not conducive to the public good. This decision, announced just hours ago amid backlash over his planned Wireless Festival headline slot in July, prompted the event's outright cancellation and refunds for ticket holders. With the ban in effect well before May 31, markets reflect overwhelming confidence backed by real capital; realistic upsets would require a rare successful appeal or government reversal, unlikely given stringent UK visa precedents on hate speech.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日>99% 確率
$30,647 Vol.
$30,647 Vol.
2026/05/31
>99% 確率
$30,647 Vol.
$30,647 Vol.
2026/05/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UK Home Office's recent withdrawal of Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation (ETA)—confirmed in reports from BBC and The Guardian—has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on a "Yes" outcome, as the rapper, formerly Kanye West, is officially blocked from entering Britain due to his history of antisemitic remarks deemed not conducive to the public good. This decision, announced just hours ago amid backlash over his planned Wireless Festival headline slot in July, prompted the event's outright cancellation and refunds for ticket holders. With the ban in effect well before May 31, markets reflect overwhelming confidence backed by real capital; realistic upsets would require a rare successful appeal or government reversal, unlikely given stringent UK visa precedents on hate speech.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 6, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
音量
$30,647終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UK Home Office's recent withdrawal of Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation (ETA)—confirmed in reports from BBC and The Guardian—has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on a "Yes" outcome, as the rapper, formerly Kanye West, is officially blocked from entering Britain due to his history of antisemitic remarks deemed not conducive to the public good. This decision, announced just hours ago amid backlash over his planned Wireless Festival headline slot in July, prompted the event's outright cancellation and refunds for ticket holders. With the ban in effect well before May 31, markets reflect overwhelming confidence backed by real capital; realistic upsets would require a rare successful appeal or government reversal, unlikely given stringent UK visa precedents on hate speech.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$30,647終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
The UK Home Office's recent withdrawal of Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation (ETA)—confirmed in reports from BBC and The Guardian—has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on a "Yes" outcome, as the rapper, formerly Kanye West, is officially blocked from entering Britain due to his history of antisemitic remarks deemed not conducive to the public good. This decision, announced just hours ago amid backlash over his planned Wireless Festival headline slot in July, prompted the event's outright cancellation and refunds for ticket holders. With the ban in effect well before May 31, markets reflect overwhelming confidence backed by real capital; realistic upsets would require a rare successful appeal or government reversal, unlikely given stringent UK visa precedents on hate speech.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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