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DEMまたはGOPテキサス州上院予備選挙でより大きな勝利のマージン?

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DEMまたはGOPテキサス州上院予備選挙でより大きな勝利のマージン?

民主党

98% chance
Polymarket

$6,026 Vol.

民主党

98% chance
Polymarket

$6,026 Vol.

Democratic and Republican Senate Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.

This market will resolve to “Dems” if the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary is greater than the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary.

This market will resolve to “GOP” if the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary is greater than the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the margin of victory between the top two candidates in both primaries is exactly equal, or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$6,026
終了日
Mar 3, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ET
Democratic and Republican Senate Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve to “Dems” if the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary is greater than the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary. This market will resolve to “GOP” if the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary is greater than the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the margin of victory between the top two candidates in both primaries is exactly equal, or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Democratic and Republican Senate Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.

This market will resolve to “Dems” if the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary is greater than the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary.

This market will resolve to “GOP” if the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary is greater than the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the margin of victory between the top two candidates in both primaries is exactly equal, or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$6,026
終了日
Mar 3, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ET
Democratic and Republican Senate Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve to “Dems” if the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary is greater than the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary. This market will resolve to “GOP” if the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary is greater than the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the margin of victory between the top two candidates in both primaries is exactly equal, or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「DEMまたはGOPテキサス州上院予備選挙でより大きな勝利のマージン?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「テキサス上院予備選でどちらがより大差で勝つか、民主党か共和党か?」で98%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、98¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に98%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「DEMまたはGOPテキサス州上院予備選挙でより大きな勝利のマージン?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Feb 24, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「DEMまたはGOPテキサス州上院予備選挙でより大きな勝利のマージン?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「DEMまたはGOPテキサス州上院予備選挙でより大きな勝利のマージン?」の現在のフロントランナーは「テキサス上院予備選でどちらがより大差で勝つか、民主党か共和党か?」で98%であり、市場がこの結果に98%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「DEMまたはGOPテキサス州上院予備選挙でより大きな勝利のマージン?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。