Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows near 24°C for Jinan on August 23, aligning with late-summer climatology where average minima range 21–25°C amid subtropical high pressure and monsoon moisture. This positions 22°C or higher as the market leader at 51% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of stable steering patterns and limited diurnal cooling potential. Recent observations show persistent warmth with highs near 34–36°C and only isolated thundershowers, offering little evidence for sharper drops. Key variables include any last-minute model shifts in boundary-layer mixing or frontal approaches, with final guidance releases likely to refine resolution thresholds before the daily minimum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の済南の最低気温は?
20°C 37%
21°C 37%
18°C 36%
19°C 35%
12°C or below
32%
13°C
23%
14°C
23%
15°C
23%
16°C
23%
17°C
23%
18°C
36%
19°C
35%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C or higher
51%
20°C 37%
21°C 37%
18°C 36%
19°C 35%
12°C or below
32%
13°C
23%
14°C
23%
15°C
23%
16°C
23%
17°C
23%
18°C
36%
19°C
35%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C or higher
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows near 24°C for Jinan on August 23, aligning with late-summer climatology where average minima range 21–25°C amid subtropical high pressure and monsoon moisture. This positions 22°C or higher as the market leader at 51% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of stable steering patterns and limited diurnal cooling potential. Recent observations show persistent warmth with highs near 34–36°C and only isolated thundershowers, offering little evidence for sharper drops. Key variables include any last-minute model shifts in boundary-layer mixing or frontal approaches, with final guidance releases likely to refine resolution thresholds before the daily minimum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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