Mild atmospheric conditions overnight have anchored trader consensus around an 11°C low for London on September 21, with market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome versus just 0.1% for 8°C or below. Official Met Office guidance and station data indicate minimum temperatures near 9–13°C under partly clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with late-September climatology where radiational cooling is moderated by residual warmth and weak pressure gradients. No significant cold-air advection or stronger high-pressure setup materialized to drive deeper nocturnal drops. While forecast models carry small uncertainty ranges from localized microclimates or measurement timing, a plunge below 8°C would require atypical clear-sky intensification or unmodeled wind shifts not supported by current observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日のロンドンの最低気温は?
11°C 100.0%
8℃以下 <1%
9℃ <1%
10°C <1%
$9,110 Vol.
$9,110 Vol.
8℃以下
いいえ
9℃
いいえ
10°C
いいえ
11°C
はい
12°C
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18°C以上
いいえ
11°C 100.0%
8℃以下 <1%
9℃ <1%
10°C <1%
$9,110 Vol.
$9,110 Vol.
8℃以下
いいえ
9℃
いいえ
10°C
いいえ
11°C
はい
12°C
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Mild atmospheric conditions overnight have anchored trader consensus around an 11°C low for London on September 21, with market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome versus just 0.1% for 8°C or below. Official Met Office guidance and station data indicate minimum temperatures near 9–13°C under partly clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with late-September climatology where radiational cooling is moderated by residual warmth and weak pressure gradients. No significant cold-air advection or stronger high-pressure setup materialized to drive deeper nocturnal drops. While forecast models carry small uncertainty ranges from localized microclimates or measurement timing, a plunge below 8°C would require atypical clear-sky intensification or unmodeled wind shifts not supported by current observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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