National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 71°F around 6 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected overnight lows in the low 70s amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 5-10 mph, and limited radiative cooling that prevented deeper drops below climatological May 4 norms of 72°F. Historical data shows early-May lows rarely dip below 70°F without clear skies and calm winds; a data revision from official METAR reports would be needed to challenge this positioning, though such corrections are rare post-validation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月4日のマイアミの最低気温は?
70〜71°F 100.0%
67°F以下 <1%
68〜69°F <1%
72~73°F <1%
$20,854 Vol.
$20,854 Vol.
67°F以下
いいえ
68〜69°F
いいえ
70〜71°F
はい
72~73°F
いいえ
74〜75°F
いいえ
76〜77°F
いいえ
78〜79°F
いいえ
80〜81°F
いいえ
82〜83°F
いいえ
84〜85°F
いいえ
86°F以上
いいえ
70〜71°F 100.0%
67°F以下 <1%
68〜69°F <1%
72~73°F <1%
$20,854 Vol.
$20,854 Vol.
67°F以下
いいえ
68〜69°F
いいえ
70〜71°F
はい
72~73°F
いいえ
74〜75°F
いいえ
76〜77°F
いいえ
78〜79°F
いいえ
80〜81°F
いいえ
82〜83°F
いいえ
84〜85°F
いいえ
86°F以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 71°F around 6 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected overnight lows in the low 70s amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 5-10 mph, and limited radiative cooling that prevented deeper drops below climatological May 4 norms of 72°F. Historical data shows early-May lows rarely dip below 70°F without clear skies and calm winds; a data revision from official METAR reports would be needed to challenge this positioning, though such corrections are rare post-validation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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