**Trader consensus centers on 25–26°C as the most probable minimum temperature for Panama City, Panama, on August 21, reflecting the city's typical August climatology during the rainy season.** High humidity and frequent convective activity limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the long-term average of 24–25°C. Recent observations and forecasts for the date show widespread thunderstorms and cloud cover that further suppressed temperature drops, with model guidance and station data converging on a minimum around 25–26°C rather than cooler outliers. The narrow spread of high-probability outcomes (26°C at 63%, 25°C at 32%) captures this limited variability, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below align with historical rarity under similar atmospheric conditions. Updated observations and any official meteorological service verification remain the key near-term catalyst for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のパナマシティの最低気温は?
26°C 99.5%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
$4,810 Vol.
$4,810 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 99.5%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
$4,810 Vol.
$4,810 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus centers on 25–26°C as the most probable minimum temperature for Panama City, Panama, on August 21, reflecting the city's typical August climatology during the rainy season.** High humidity and frequent convective activity limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the long-term average of 24–25°C. Recent observations and forecasts for the date show widespread thunderstorms and cloud cover that further suppressed temperature drops, with model guidance and station data converging on a minimum around 25–26°C rather than cooler outliers. The narrow spread of high-probability outcomes (26°C at 63%, 25°C at 32%) captures this limited variability, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below align with historical rarity under similar atmospheric conditions. Updated observations and any official meteorological service verification remain the key near-term catalyst for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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