Tokyo’s mid-June climatology, with Japan Meteorological Agency normals placing daily minimum temperatures near 19°C at this time of year, underpins the strong market consensus around a 20°C low. Current JMA and ensemble forecasts for June 18 show overnight conditions stabilizing in the 18–21°C range amid typical early-summer humidity and light winds, with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures projected nationwide further support this narrow band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted frontal passage or heavier nocturnal rainfall that enhances evaporative cooling, though model consensus and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月18日の東京の最低気温は?
20℃ 100.0%
15°C以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17℃ <1%
$23,917 Vol.
$23,917 Vol.
15°C以下
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20℃
はい
21°C
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃以上
いいえ
20℃ 100.0%
15°C以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17℃ <1%
$23,917 Vol.
$23,917 Vol.
15°C以下
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20℃
はい
21°C
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Tokyo’s mid-June climatology, with Japan Meteorological Agency normals placing daily minimum temperatures near 19°C at this time of year, underpins the strong market consensus around a 20°C low. Current JMA and ensemble forecasts for June 18 show overnight conditions stabilizing in the 18–21°C range amid typical early-summer humidity and light winds, with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures projected nationwide further support this narrow band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted frontal passage or heavier nocturnal rainfall that enhances evaporative cooling, though model consensus and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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