Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate an overnight minimum of exactly 19°C on June 3, driven by the early onset of the tsuyu rainy season with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with ensemble model consensus and places the reading near the upper end of the 18–20°C climatological range for early June, when normal minimums average around 17°C. Trader consensus at 100% on 19°C reflects these stable conditions with limited warm-air advection or clear-sky potential. Resolution could shift only if final observational data from official stations deviates due to localized microclimate effects or last-minute forecast adjustments, though such revisions appear unlikely at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 3?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$19,788 Vol.
$19,788 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$19,788 Vol.
$19,788 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 1, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate an overnight minimum of exactly 19°C on June 3, driven by the early onset of the tsuyu rainy season with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with ensemble model consensus and places the reading near the upper end of the 18–20°C climatological range for early June, when normal minimums average around 17°C. Trader consensus at 100% on 19°C reflects these stable conditions with limited warm-air advection or clear-sky potential. Resolution could shift only if final observational data from official stations deviates due to localized microclimate effects or last-minute forecast adjustments, though such revisions appear unlikely at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問