Google’s rapid Flash-series cadence, with Gemini 3.7 Flash launching August 13 just three weeks after 3.6 Flash, has positioned an early-September release of the next 3.8+ iteration as the market consensus. Internal testing of a Gemini 3.8 Flash Preview on the Jetski platform began within 14 days of 3.7’s general availability, according to August 27–28 reporting, aligning with Sundar Pichai’s push for near-monthly algorithmic updates focused on agentic workflows, coding benchmarks, and cost efficiency. Traders see September 2 as the likeliest window given the compressed timeline and absence of confirmed delays, while later dates or a no-release outcome by mid-month reflect residual uncertainty around final validation and public rollout timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日September 2 79%
9月15日までにリリースなし 7%
September 4 6.0%
9月7日 3.0%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
On or prior to September 1
2%
September 2
79%
September 3
7%
September 4
6%
September 5
1%
September 6
1%
9月7日
8%
9月8日
1%
9月9日
1%
9月10日
1%
9月11日
2%
9月12日
1%
9月13日
<1%
9月14日
2%
9月15日
1%
9月15日までにリリースなし
7%
September 2 79%
9月15日までにリリースなし 7%
September 4 6.0%
9月7日 3.0%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
On or prior to September 1
$450 Vol.
2%
September 2
$984 Vol.
79%
September 3
$375 Vol.
7%
September 4
$279 Vol.
6%
September 5
$684 Vol.
1%
September 6
$524 Vol.
1%
9月7日
$265 Vol.
8%
9月8日
$265 Vol.
1%
9月9日
$282 Vol.
1%
9月10日
$265 Vol.
1%
9月11日
$285 Vol.
2%
9月12日
$274 Vol.
1%
9月13日
$344 Vol.
<1%
9月14日
$267 Vol.
2%
9月15日
$274 Vol.
1%
9月15日までにリリースなし
$400 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s rapid Flash-series cadence, with Gemini 3.7 Flash launching August 13 just three weeks after 3.6 Flash, has positioned an early-September release of the next 3.8+ iteration as the market consensus. Internal testing of a Gemini 3.8 Flash Preview on the Jetski platform began within 14 days of 3.7’s general availability, according to August 27–28 reporting, aligning with Sundar Pichai’s push for near-monthly algorithmic updates focused on agentic workflows, coding benchmarks, and cost efficiency. Traders see September 2 as the likeliest window given the compressed timeline and absence of confirmed delays, while later dates or a no-release outcome by mid-month reflect residual uncertainty around final validation and public rollout timing.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
音量
$6,218終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 4:09 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s rapid Flash-series cadence, with Gemini 3.7 Flash launching August 13 just three weeks after 3.6 Flash, has positioned an early-September release of the next 3.8+ iteration as the market consensus. Internal testing of a Gemini 3.8 Flash Preview on the Jetski platform began within 14 days of 3.7’s general availability, according to August 27–28 reporting, aligning with Sundar Pichai’s push for near-monthly algorithmic updates focused on agentic workflows, coding benchmarks, and cost efficiency. Traders see September 2 as the likeliest window given the compressed timeline and absence of confirmed delays, while later dates or a no-release outcome by mid-month reflect residual uncertainty around final validation and public rollout timing.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$6,218終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 4:09 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Google’s rapid Flash-series cadence, with Gemini 3.7 Flash launching August 13 just three weeks after 3.6 Flash, has positioned an early-September release of the next 3.8+ iteration as the market consensus. Internal testing of a Gemini 3.8 Flash Preview on the Jetski platform began within 14 days of 3.7’s general availability, according to August 27–28 reporting, aligning with Sundar Pichai’s push for near-monthly algorithmic updates focused on agentic workflows, coding benchmarks, and cost efficiency. Traders see September 2 as the likeliest window given the compressed timeline and absence of confirmed delays, while later dates or a no-release outcome by mid-month reflect residual uncertainty around final validation and public rollout timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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