Google's ongoing delay of its flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro model continues to shape trader views on release timing, as the version teased for June at Google I/O 2026 remains in partner testing without a firm public rollout. July 2026 updates introduced lighter variants such as Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite with gains in coding and multimodal efficiency, yet the Pro tier—last refreshed months earlier—has not shipped despite internal use and performance goals. This lag coincides with pre-training runs underway for Gemini 4 and competitive pressure from faster releases by rival labs, underscoring execution risks around benchmarks, agentic features, and context windows. Traders are watching for any partner feedback or official statements that could accelerate or further postpone the next major Pro update.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$467,628 Vol.
2026/08/21
8月7日
7%
8月14日
64%
8月21日
81%
8月31日
94%
$467,628 Vol.
8月7日
$77,157 Vol.
7%
8月14日
$44,013 Vol.
64%
8月21日
$24,852 Vol.
81%
8月31日
$35,640 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delay of its flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro model continues to shape trader views on release timing, as the version teased for June at Google I/O 2026 remains in partner testing without a firm public rollout. July 2026 updates introduced lighter variants such as Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite with gains in coding and multimodal efficiency, yet the Pro tier—last refreshed months earlier—has not shipped despite internal use and performance goals. This lag coincides with pre-training runs underway for Gemini 4 and competitive pressure from faster releases by rival labs, underscoring execution risks around benchmarks, agentic features, and context windows. Traders are watching for any partner feedback or official statements that could accelerate or further postpone the next major Pro update.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
音量
$467,628終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delay of its flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro model continues to shape trader views on release timing, as the version teased for June at Google I/O 2026 remains in partner testing without a firm public rollout. July 2026 updates introduced lighter variants such as Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite with gains in coding and multimodal efficiency, yet the Pro tier—last refreshed months earlier—has not shipped despite internal use and performance goals. This lag coincides with pre-training runs underway for Gemini 4 and competitive pressure from faster releases by rival labs, underscoring execution risks around benchmarks, agentic features, and context windows. Traders are watching for any partner feedback or official statements that could accelerate or further postpone the next major Pro update.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$467,628終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's ongoing delay of its flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro model continues to shape trader views on release timing, as the version teased for June at Google I/O 2026 remains in partner testing without a firm public rollout. July 2026 updates introduced lighter variants such as Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite with gains in coding and multimodal efficiency, yet the Pro tier—last refreshed months earlier—has not shipped despite internal use and performance goals. This lag coincides with pre-training runs underway for Gemini 4 and competitive pressure from faster releases by rival labs, underscoring execution risks around benchmarks, agentic features, and context windows. Traders are watching for any partner feedback or official statements that could accelerate or further postpone the next major Pro update.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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