OpenAI’s preparations for a potential initial public offering, including confidential SEC filings and ambitions for a $1 trillion valuation, form the core driver behind traders’ 95.6% implied probability against an acquisition before 2027. The large language model leader has pursued independence through an aggressive 2026 acquisition spree targeting developer tools and infrastructure, while recent reporting highlights plans to possibly delay any listing until 2027 amid market volatility. With only five months remaining in 2026, completing a transformative deal faces steep logistical and regulatory hurdles. Realistic shifts could still arise from an unexpected strategic bid by a major partner or sudden policy changes, though current momentum strongly favors autonomy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s preparations for a potential initial public offering, including confidential SEC filings and ambitions for a $1 trillion valuation, form the core driver behind traders’ 95.6% implied probability against an acquisition before 2027. The large language model leader has pursued independence through an aggressive 2026 acquisition spree targeting developer tools and infrastructure, while recent reporting highlights plans to possibly delay any listing until 2027 amid market volatility. With only five months remaining in 2026, completing a transformative deal faces steep logistical and regulatory hurdles. Realistic shifts could still arise from an unexpected strategic bid by a major partner or sudden policy changes, though current momentum strongly favors autonomy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ET
音量
$3,965終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s preparations for a potential initial public offering, including confidential SEC filings and ambitions for a $1 trillion valuation, form the core driver behind traders’ 95.6% implied probability against an acquisition before 2027. The large language model leader has pursued independence through an aggressive 2026 acquisition spree targeting developer tools and infrastructure, while recent reporting highlights plans to possibly delay any listing until 2027 amid market volatility. With only five months remaining in 2026, completing a transformative deal faces steep logistical and regulatory hurdles. Realistic shifts could still arise from an unexpected strategic bid by a major partner or sudden policy changes, though current momentum strongly favors autonomy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$3,965終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s preparations for a potential initial public offering, including confidential SEC filings and ambitions for a $1 trillion valuation, form the core driver behind traders’ 95.6% implied probability against an acquisition before 2027. The large language model leader has pursued independence through an aggressive 2026 acquisition spree targeting developer tools and infrastructure, while recent reporting highlights plans to possibly delay any listing until 2027 amid market volatility. With only five months remaining in 2026, completing a transformative deal faces steep logistical and regulatory hurdles. Realistic shifts could still arise from an unexpected strategic bid by a major partner or sudden policy changes, though current momentum strongly favors autonomy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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