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icon for OpenAI files IPO by...?

OpenAI files IPO by...?

icon for OpenAI files IPO by...?

OpenAI files IPO by...?

新規
2026/06/06
Polymarket

$296 Vol.

Polymarket

May 22

$120 Vol.

6%

May 26

$0 Vol.

49%

May 29

$40 Vol.

53%

June 5

$136 Vol.

82%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s preparations for a potential initial public offering have accelerated sharply in recent weeks, with reports on May 20 indicating the company is working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on a confidential draft prospectus that could be filed with the SEC as soon as this week, positioning it for a possible September 2026 public debut. This follows a $122 billion funding round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation earlier in 2026 and ongoing infrastructure commitments exceeding $1 trillion. While OpenAI has emphasized that an IPO is not its immediate focus and plans remain fluid, the moves align with broader capital-raising needs amid substantial operating losses and competitive pressures in the AI sector. Traders monitoring regulatory filings and bank mandates will watch closely for any confirmed S-1 submission or shifts in the targeted listing window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting.

A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe.

The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$296
終了日
2026/06/06
マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s preparations for a potential initial public offering have accelerated sharply in recent weeks, with reports on May 20 indicating the company is working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on a confidential draft prospectus that could be filed with the SEC as soon as this week, positioning it for a possible September 2026 public debut. This follows a $122 billion funding round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation earlier in 2026 and ongoing infrastructure commitments exceeding $1 trillion. While OpenAI has emphasized that an IPO is not its immediate focus and plans remain fluid, the moves align with broader capital-raising needs amid substantial operating losses and competitive pressures in the AI sector. Traders monitoring regulatory filings and bank mandates will watch closely for any confirmed S-1 submission or shifts in the targeted listing window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting.

A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe.

The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$296
終了日
2026/06/06
マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「OpenAI files IPO by...?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「June 5」で82%、次いで「May 29」が53%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、82¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に82%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「OpenAI files IPO by...?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(May 21, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「OpenAI files IPO by...?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「OpenAI files IPO by...?」の現在のフロントランナーは「June 5」で82%であり、市場がこの結果に82%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「May 29」で53%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「OpenAI files IPO by...?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。