Perplexity AI’s CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly stated there are no plans to pursue an IPO before 2028, directly underpinning the 49% market-implied probability on that outcome. The company has instead raised fresh private capital, most recently $200 million at a $20 billion valuation in September 2025, while scaling annualized revenue to roughly $500 million by April 2026. This access to growth funding, paired with strong user adoption of its conversational large language model search platform, reduces near-term pressure to list and keeps mid-range IPO valuations (40B–75B) in the 20–25% combined range. Traders appear to be pricing in sustained private-market momentum and typical AI startup timelines before any public debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2028年以前にIPOなし 49%
500億〜750億 14.9%
750億~1,000億ドル 10.0%
<200億ドル 6.5%
$139,914 Vol.
$139,914 Vol.
<200億ドル
6%
200億〜300億ドル
5%
300億〜400億ドル
6%
400億~500億
11%
500億〜750億
15%
750億~1,000億ドル
10%
1000億ドル超
6%
2028年以前にIPOなし
49%
2028年以前にIPOなし 49%
500億〜750億 14.9%
750億~1,000億ドル 10.0%
<200億ドル 6.5%
$139,914 Vol.
$139,914 Vol.
<200億ドル
6%
200億〜300億ドル
5%
300億〜400億ドル
6%
400億~500億
11%
500億〜750億
15%
750億~1,000億ドル
10%
1000億ドル超
6%
2028年以前にIPOなし
49%
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Perplexity AI’s CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly stated there are no plans to pursue an IPO before 2028, directly underpinning the 49% market-implied probability on that outcome. The company has instead raised fresh private capital, most recently $200 million at a $20 billion valuation in September 2025, while scaling annualized revenue to roughly $500 million by April 2026. This access to growth funding, paired with strong user adoption of its conversational large language model search platform, reduces near-term pressure to list and keeps mid-range IPO valuations (40B–75B) in the 20–25% combined range. Traders appear to be pricing in sustained private-market momentum and typical AI startup timelines before any public debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問