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政治·グローバル選挙

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Market icon
政治·グローバル選挙

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Rand Paul 40%

Marjorie Taylor Greene 40%

Katie Britt 39%

Eric Trump 39%

Polymarket
新規

Rand Paul 40%

Marjorie Taylor Greene 40%

Katie Britt 39%

Eric Trump 39%

Polymarket
新規

Donald Trump

$3 Vol.

34%

J.D. Vance

$4 Vol.

27%

Marco Rubio

$3 Vol.

22%

Tulsi Gabbard

$3 Vol.

35%

Glenn Youngkin

$3 Vol.

36%

Donald Trump Jr.

$3 Vol.

32%

Ron DeSantis

$3 Vol.

38%

Nikki Haley

$3 Vol.

33%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$3 Vol.

37%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$3 Vol.

31%

Greg Abbott

$3 Vol.

34%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$3 Vol.

21%

Brian Kemp

$3 Vol.

36%

Byron Donalds

$3 Vol.

28%

Elise Stefanik

$3 Vol.

34%

Josh Hawley

$3 Vol.

38%

Ted Cruz

$3 Vol.

26%

Elon Musk

$3 Vol.

18%

Matt Gaetz

$3 Vol.

37%

Katie Britt

$3 Vol.

39%

John Thune

$3 Vol.

38%

Kristi Noem

$3 Vol.

38%

Mike Pence

$3 Vol.

39%

Tucker Carlson

$3 Vol.

16%

Ivanka Trump

$3 Vol.

26%

Tom Brady

$3 Vol.

11%

Rand Paul

$3 Vol.

40%

Steve Bannon

$3 Vol.

33%

Erika Kirk

$3 Vol.

36%

Kim Kardashian

$3 Vol.

8%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$3 Vol.

40%

Thomas Massie

$3 Vol.

39%

Eric Trump

$3 Vol.

39%

Joe Kent

$3 Vol.

33%

Pete Hegseth

$3 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the Republican VP nominee for 2028 reflects a wide-open field tied to uncertainty over the presidential nominee, with JD Vance leading recent CPAC straw polls at 53% but no lock-in amid competing factions from MAGA populists to libertarians. Rand Paul and Marjorie Taylor Greene share the top implied probability at 39.5%, buoyed by Paul's late-March interviews floating a presidential bid while championing fiscal conservatism against tariff policies, alongside Greene's vocal party influence. Katie Britt, Matt Gaetz, John Thune, Josh Hawley, and Thomas Massie cluster tightly nearby, signaling bets on Senate firepower and Trump-aligned firebrands to balance a Vance or DeSantis-led ticket. The race stays neck-and-neck absent a dominant primary frontrunner; 2026 midterms victories, Trump or Vance endorsements, and fundraising surges could pull ahead individual contenders before 2027 caucuses.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$92
終了日
2028/08/14
マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the Republican VP nominee for 2028 reflects a wide-open field tied to uncertainty over the presidential nominee, with JD Vance leading recent CPAC straw polls at 53% but no lock-in amid competing factions from MAGA populists to libertarians. Rand Paul and Marjorie Taylor Greene share the top implied probability at 39.5%, buoyed by Paul's late-March interviews floating a presidential bid while championing fiscal conservatism against tariff policies, alongside Greene's vocal party influence. Katie Britt, Matt Gaetz, John Thune, Josh Hawley, and Thomas Massie cluster tightly nearby, signaling bets on Senate firepower and Trump-aligned firebrands to balance a Vance or DeSantis-led ticket. The race stays neck-and-neck absent a dominant primary frontrunner; 2026 midterms victories, Trump or Vance endorsements, and fundraising surges could pull ahead individual contenders before 2027 caucuses.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$92
終了日
2028/08/14
マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「Republican VP Nominee 2028」はPolymarket上の35個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Rand Paul」で40%、次いで「Marjorie Taylor Greene」が40%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、40¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に40%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Republican VP Nominee 2028」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 14, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Republican VP Nominee 2028」で取引するには、このページに記載されている35個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Republican VP Nominee 2028」の現在のフロントランナーは「Rand Paul」で40%であり、市場がこの結果に40%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Marjorie Taylor Greene」で40%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Republican VP Nominee 2028」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。