The crowded field of 11 candidates vying for Sergipe’s two Federal Senate seats has produced closely matched probabilities for second place. Recent party conventions in early August 2026 finalized the slate, including figures such as Rogério Carvalho, Delegado André David, Eduardo Amorim, Edvaldo Nogueira, Iran Barbosa, and André Moura, with support split across parties including PT, Republicanos, PDT, and MDB. No single contender has consolidated a commanding position in the fragmented electorate, keeping implied probabilities for second place tightly bunched near 45-50 percent. Voter turnout patterns, coalition alignments, and any late shifts in state-level polling within the next two months could separate the top contenders before the October general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アンドレ・モウラ 46%
コロネル・ロシャ 46%
レナチーニャ 46%
デレガード・アレッサンドロ 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
アンドレ・モウラ
46%
コロネル・ロシャ
46%
レナチーニャ
46%
デレガード・アレッサンドロ
44%
イラン・バルボーザ
43%
ロドリゴ・ヴァラダレス
43%
エジバウド
43%
パウリーニョ・ダ・ウニアオ・トゥール
42%
デレガード・アンドレ・ダヴィ
42%
ロジェリオ・カルヴァーリョ
40%
エドゥアルド・アモリム
27%
アンドレ・モウラ 46%
コロネル・ロシャ 46%
レナチーニャ 46%
デレガード・アレッサンドロ 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
アンドレ・モウラ
$0 Vol.
46%
コロネル・ロシャ
$0 Vol.
46%
レナチーニャ
$0 Vol.
46%
デレガード・アレッサンドロ
$0 Vol.
44%
イラン・バルボーザ
$0 Vol.
43%
ロドリゴ・ヴァラダレス
$0 Vol.
43%
エジバウド
$0 Vol.
43%
パウリーニョ・ダ・ウニアオ・トゥール
$0 Vol.
42%
デレガード・アンドレ・ダヴィ
$0 Vol.
42%
ロジェリオ・カルヴァーリョ
$0 Vol.
40%
エドゥアルド・アモリム
$0 Vol.
27%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of 11 candidates vying for Sergipe’s two Federal Senate seats has produced closely matched probabilities for second place. Recent party conventions in early August 2026 finalized the slate, including figures such as Rogério Carvalho, Delegado André David, Eduardo Amorim, Edvaldo Nogueira, Iran Barbosa, and André Moura, with support split across parties including PT, Republicanos, PDT, and MDB. No single contender has consolidated a commanding position in the fragmented electorate, keeping implied probabilities for second place tightly bunched near 45-50 percent. Voter turnout patterns, coalition alignments, and any late shifts in state-level polling within the next two months could separate the top contenders before the October general election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of 11 candidates vying for Sergipe’s two Federal Senate seats has produced closely matched probabilities for second place. Recent party conventions in early August 2026 finalized the slate, including figures such as Rogério Carvalho, Delegado André David, Eduardo Amorim, Edvaldo Nogueira, Iran Barbosa, and André Moura, with support split across parties including PT, Republicanos, PDT, and MDB. No single contender has consolidated a commanding position in the fragmented electorate, keeping implied probabilities for second place tightly bunched near 45-50 percent. Voter turnout patterns, coalition alignments, and any late shifts in state-level polling within the next two months could separate the top contenders before the October general election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of 11 candidates vying for Sergipe’s two Federal Senate seats has produced closely matched probabilities for second place. Recent party conventions in early August 2026 finalized the slate, including figures such as Rogério Carvalho, Delegado André David, Eduardo Amorim, Edvaldo Nogueira, Iran Barbosa, and André Moura, with support split across parties including PT, Republicanos, PDT, and MDB. No single contender has consolidated a commanding position in the fragmented electorate, keeping implied probabilities for second place tightly bunched near 45-50 percent. Voter turnout patterns, coalition alignments, and any late shifts in state-level polling within the next two months could separate the top contenders before the October general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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