The Sergipe Senate race for first place stays highly fragmented and uncertain ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent August polls showing no candidate above 26% and substantial undecided or blank responses. André Moura (União Brasil) and Delegado André David (Republicanos) have traded narrow leads in surveys from Real Time Big Data and Veritá, while Alessandro Vieira (MDB), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and others trail in single digits or low teens. Eleven candidates are competing for two seats, with recent party conventions and asset declarations highlighting broad fields but limited consolidation. This structure keeps implied probabilities clustered, as late alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in undecided voters could separate frontrunners before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Rogerio Carvalho 43%
Coronel Rocha 41%
Eduardo Amorim 29%
André Moura 28%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Rogerio Carvalho
43%
Coronel Rocha
41%
Eduardo Amorim
29%
André Moura
28%
Delegado Alessandro
27%
Iran Barbosa
26%
Delegado André David
26%
Renatinha
26%
Paulinho da União Tur
25%
Edvaldo
24%
Rodrigo Valadares
23%
Rogerio Carvalho 43%
Coronel Rocha 41%
Eduardo Amorim 29%
André Moura 28%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Rogerio Carvalho
$0 Vol.
43%
Coronel Rocha
$0 Vol.
41%
Eduardo Amorim
$0 Vol.
29%
André Moura
$0 Vol.
28%
Delegado Alessandro
$0 Vol.
27%
Iran Barbosa
$0 Vol.
26%
Delegado André David
$0 Vol.
26%
Renatinha
$0 Vol.
26%
Paulinho da União Tur
$0 Vol.
25%
Edvaldo
$0 Vol.
24%
Rodrigo Valadares
$0 Vol.
23%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Sergipe Senate race for first place stays highly fragmented and uncertain ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent August polls showing no candidate above 26% and substantial undecided or blank responses. André Moura (União Brasil) and Delegado André David (Republicanos) have traded narrow leads in surveys from Real Time Big Data and Veritá, while Alessandro Vieira (MDB), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and others trail in single digits or low teens. Eleven candidates are competing for two seats, with recent party conventions and asset declarations highlighting broad fields but limited consolidation. This structure keeps implied probabilities clustered, as late alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in undecided voters could separate frontrunners before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Sergipe Senate race for first place stays highly fragmented and uncertain ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent August polls showing no candidate above 26% and substantial undecided or blank responses. André Moura (União Brasil) and Delegado André David (Republicanos) have traded narrow leads in surveys from Real Time Big Data and Veritá, while Alessandro Vieira (MDB), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and others trail in single digits or low teens. Eleven candidates are competing for two seats, with recent party conventions and asset declarations highlighting broad fields but limited consolidation. This structure keeps implied probabilities clustered, as late alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in undecided voters could separate frontrunners before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe Senate race for first place stays highly fragmented and uncertain ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent August polls showing no candidate above 26% and substantial undecided or blank responses. André Moura (União Brasil) and Delegado André David (Republicanos) have traded narrow leads in surveys from Real Time Big Data and Veritá, while Alessandro Vieira (MDB), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and others trail in single digits or low teens. Eleven candidates are competing for two seats, with recent party conventions and asset declarations highlighting broad fields but limited consolidation. This structure keeps implied probabilities clustered, as late alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in undecided voters could separate frontrunners before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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