**Strong third-weekend hold of roughly $71 million has positioned “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for a fourth-frame gross clustered in the mid-to-high $30 millions, with the 35–38 million range commanding the clearest trader consensus.** The film’s record $360 million domestic debut and $2 billion global total after just three weekends reflect exceptional franchise appeal and positive audience reception, yet the steep -60% and -51% drops in weeks two and three signal accelerating front-loadedness typical of August releases as schools resume. With minimal direct competition and solid word-of-mouth sustaining midweek play, momentum favors a modest 45–50% decline that lands comfortably inside the leading bin while leaving room for upside if family audiences return over the long holiday weekend. Traders are weighting historical superhero legs and current per-theater averages more heavily than any single new catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」4 thウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」4 thウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
3,500万～3,800万 48%
3,800万～4,100万 39%
4,100万～4,400万 26%
3,500万未満 12.9%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
3,500万未満
13%
3,500万～3,800万
48%
3,800万～4,100万
39%
4,100万～4,400万
26%
4,400万ドル以上
12%
3,500万～3,800万 48%
3,800万～4,100万 39%
4,100万～4,400万 26%
3,500万未満 12.9%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
3,500万未満
$2,605 Vol.
13%
3,500万～3,800万
$0 Vol.
48%
3,800万～4,100万
$0 Vol.
39%
4,100万～4,400万
$0 Vol.
26%
4,400万ドル以上
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong third-weekend hold of roughly $71 million has positioned “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for a fourth-frame gross clustered in the mid-to-high $30 millions, with the 35–38 million range commanding the clearest trader consensus.** The film’s record $360 million domestic debut and $2 billion global total after just three weekends reflect exceptional franchise appeal and positive audience reception, yet the steep -60% and -51% drops in weeks two and three signal accelerating front-loadedness typical of August releases as schools resume. With minimal direct competition and solid word-of-mouth sustaining midweek play, momentum favors a modest 45–50% decline that lands comfortably inside the leading bin while leaving room for upside if family audiences return over the long holiday weekend. Traders are weighting historical superhero legs and current per-theater averages more heavily than any single new catalyst.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
音量
$2,605終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong third-weekend hold of roughly $71 million has positioned “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for a fourth-frame gross clustered in the mid-to-high $30 millions, with the 35–38 million range commanding the clearest trader consensus.** The film’s record $360 million domestic debut and $2 billion global total after just three weekends reflect exceptional franchise appeal and positive audience reception, yet the steep -60% and -51% drops in weeks two and three signal accelerating front-loadedness typical of August releases as schools resume. With minimal direct competition and solid word-of-mouth sustaining midweek play, momentum favors a modest 45–50% decline that lands comfortably inside the leading bin while leaving room for upside if family audiences return over the long holiday weekend. Traders are weighting historical superhero legs and current per-theater averages more heavily than any single new catalyst.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$2,605終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong third-weekend hold of roughly $71 million has positioned “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for a fourth-frame gross clustered in the mid-to-high $30 millions, with the 35–38 million range commanding the clearest trader consensus.** The film’s record $360 million domestic debut and $2 billion global total after just three weekends reflect exceptional franchise appeal and positive audience reception, yet the steep -60% and -51% drops in weeks two and three signal accelerating front-loadedness typical of August releases as schools resume. With minimal direct competition and solid word-of-mouth sustaining midweek play, momentum favors a modest 45–50% decline that lands comfortably inside the leading bin while leaving room for upside if family audiences return over the long holiday weekend. Traders are weighting historical superhero legs and current per-theater averages more heavily than any single new catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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