The IPO's pricing at the low end of the marketed range and subsequent NYSE debut drive the overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for a $2.25B–$2.5B closing market cap. Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining raised $270 million by selling 20 million shares at $13.50 each, with the stock opening 11% higher at $15 for an initial market value near $2.1 billion based on shares outstanding in the filings. Backing from billionaire Thomas Kaplan and plans to restart the historic Idaho silver mine in 2028 supported demand amid a robust IPO environment. The June 5 closing will finalize the figure, though last-minute trading moves or full exercise of the underwriters' option for additional shares represent the primary scenarios that could shift the outcome outside the consensus range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$2.25B–$2.5B 100.0%
$2.75B–$3B 1.0%
$2.5B–$2.75B <1%
<$2B <1%
$30,162 Vol.
$30,162 Vol.
2026/06/04
<$2B
No
$2B–$2.25B
No
$2.25B–$2.5B
Yes
$2.5B–$2.75B
No
$2.75B–$3B
No
$3B+
No
No IPO before August 2026
No
$2.25B–$2.5B 100.0%
$2.75B–$3B 1.0%
$2.5B–$2.75B <1%
<$2B <1%
$30,162 Vol.
$30,162 Vol.
2026/06/04
<$2B
$2,891 Vol.
No
$2B–$2.25B
$10,488 Vol.
No
$2.25B–$2.5B
$4,224 Vol.
Yes
$2.5B–$2.75B
$3,098 Vol.
No
$2.75B–$3B
$3,735 Vol.
No
$3B+
$3,462 Vol.
No
No IPO before August 2026
$2,264 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.The IPO's pricing at the low end of the marketed range and subsequent NYSE debut drive the overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for a $2.25B–$2.5B closing market cap. Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining raised $270 million by selling 20 million shares at $13.50 each, with the stock opening 11% higher at $15 for an initial market value near $2.1 billion based on shares outstanding in the filings. Backing from billionaire Thomas Kaplan and plans to restart the historic Idaho silver mine in 2028 supported demand amid a robust IPO environment. The June 5 closing will finalize the figure, though last-minute trading moves or full exercise of the underwriters' option for additional shares represent the primary scenarios that could shift the outcome outside the consensus range.
This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： May 27, 2026, 10:38 PM ET
音量
$30,162終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 10:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.The IPO's pricing at the low end of the marketed range and subsequent NYSE debut drive the overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for a $2.25B–$2.5B closing market cap. Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining raised $270 million by selling 20 million shares at $13.50 each, with the stock opening 11% higher at $15 for an initial market value near $2.1 billion based on shares outstanding in the filings. Backing from billionaire Thomas Kaplan and plans to restart the historic Idaho silver mine in 2028 supported demand amid a robust IPO environment. The June 5 closing will finalize the figure, though last-minute trading moves or full exercise of the underwriters' option for additional shares represent the primary scenarios that could shift the outcome outside the consensus range.
This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
音量
$30,162終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 10:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The IPO's pricing at the low end of the marketed range and subsequent NYSE debut drive the overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for a $2.25B–$2.5B closing market cap. Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining raised $270 million by selling 20 million shares at $13.50 each, with the stock opening 11% higher at $15 for an initial market value near $2.1 billion based on shares outstanding in the filings. Backing from billionaire Thomas Kaplan and plans to restart the historic Idaho silver mine in 2028 supported demand amid a robust IPO environment. The June 5 closing will finalize the figure, though last-minute trading moves or full exercise of the underwriters' option for additional shares represent the primary scenarios that could shift the outcome outside the consensus range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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