Lime’s recent S-1 amendment sets IPO terms of 6.96 million shares at $24–$26, implying a post-IPO market capitalization of roughly $1.63–$1.8 billion at the midpoint, aligning closely with the tightly matched Polymarket bins clustered around $1.4–$2.3 billion. Trader consensus reflects the narrow pricing window, Uber’s 24% stake and potential $20 million follow-on purchase, 2025 revenue of $887 million amid persistent net losses, and the need to refinance approximately $846 million in near-term debt. Key swing factors include final pricing the week of June 29, overallotment exercise, and secondary-market reception in a recovering IPO environment, with the “no IPO before September 2026” outcome underscoring residual execution risk tied to regulatory and investor appetite.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日14億ドル～17億ドル 100.0%
14億ドル未満 <1%
17億ドル～20億ドル <1%
20億ドル〜23億ドル <1%
$14,103 Vol.
$14,103 Vol.
2026/07/01
14億ドル未満
いいえ
14億ドル～17億ドル
はい
17億ドル～20億ドル
いいえ
20億ドル〜23億ドル
いいえ
23億ドル〜26億ドル
いいえ
>$2.6B
いいえ
2026年9月より前にはIPOしない
いいえ
14億ドル～17億ドル 100.0%
14億ドル未満 <1%
17億ドル～20億ドル <1%
20億ドル〜23億ドル <1%
$14,103 Vol.
$14,103 Vol.
2026/07/01
14億ドル未満
$2,357 Vol.
いいえ
14億ドル～17億ドル
$6,941 Vol.
はい
17億ドル～20億ドル
$1,889 Vol.
いいえ
20億ドル〜23億ドル
$680 Vol.
いいえ
23億ドル〜26億ドル
$530 Vol.
いいえ
>$2.6B
$655 Vol.
いいえ
2026年9月より前にはIPOしない
$1,051 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve based on Neutron Holdings' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 1 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Lime’s recent S-1 amendment sets IPO terms of 6.96 million shares at $24–$26, implying a post-IPO market capitalization of roughly $1.63–$1.8 billion at the midpoint, aligning closely with the tightly matched Polymarket bins clustered around $1.4–$2.3 billion. Trader consensus reflects the narrow pricing window, Uber’s 24% stake and potential $20 million follow-on purchase, 2025 revenue of $887 million amid persistent net losses, and the need to refinance approximately $846 million in near-term debt. Key swing factors include final pricing the week of June 29, overallotment exercise, and secondary-market reception in a recovering IPO environment, with the “no IPO before September 2026” outcome underscoring residual execution risk tied to regulatory and investor appetite.
This market will resolve based on Neutron Holdings' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 1 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 1 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jun 25, 2026, 11:57 AM ET
音量
$14,103終了日
2026/07/01マーケット開始日
Jun 25, 2026, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve based on Neutron Holdings' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 1 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Lime’s recent S-1 amendment sets IPO terms of 6.96 million shares at $24–$26, implying a post-IPO market capitalization of roughly $1.63–$1.8 billion at the midpoint, aligning closely with the tightly matched Polymarket bins clustered around $1.4–$2.3 billion. Trader consensus reflects the narrow pricing window, Uber’s 24% stake and potential $20 million follow-on purchase, 2025 revenue of $887 million amid persistent net losses, and the need to refinance approximately $846 million in near-term debt. Key swing factors include final pricing the week of June 29, overallotment exercise, and secondary-market reception in a recovering IPO environment, with the “no IPO before September 2026” outcome underscoring residual execution risk tied to regulatory and investor appetite.
This market will resolve based on Neutron Holdings' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 1 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 1 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
音量
$14,103終了日
2026/07/01マーケット開始日
Jun 25, 2026, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Lime’s recent S-1 amendment sets IPO terms of 6.96 million shares at $24–$26, implying a post-IPO market capitalization of roughly $1.63–$1.8 billion at the midpoint, aligning closely with the tightly matched Polymarket bins clustered around $1.4–$2.3 billion. Trader consensus reflects the narrow pricing window, Uber’s 24% stake and potential $20 million follow-on purchase, 2025 revenue of $887 million amid persistent net losses, and the need to refinance approximately $846 million in near-term debt. Key swing factors include final pricing the week of June 29, overallotment exercise, and secondary-market reception in a recovering IPO environment, with the “no IPO before September 2026” outcome underscoring residual execution risk tied to regulatory and investor appetite.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問