Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito holds a commanding position in the West Virginia Senate race due to her established record, strong primary performance with Trump endorsement, and the state's consistent Republican lean in federal contests. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, where Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson faces significant structural barriers after winning a fragmented primary. Capito's fundraising advantage and absence of major recent polling shifts or scandals reinforce trader consensus around her high implied probability. A late-breaking national Democratic wave, health event, or unforeseen controversy could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in comparable West Virginia races.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ウェストバージニア州上院選挙の勝者
ウェストバージニア州上院選挙の勝者
$15,886 Vol.
$15,886 Vol.
2026/11/02
シェリー・ムーア・キャピト（共和党）
97%
レイチェル・フェッティ・アンダーソン（民主党）
2%
$15,886 Vol.
$15,886 Vol.
2026/11/02
シェリー・ムーア・キャピト（共和党）
$10,813 Vol.
97%
レイチェル・フェッティ・アンダーソン（民主党）
$5,073 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito holds a commanding position in the West Virginia Senate race due to her established record, strong primary performance with Trump endorsement, and the state's consistent Republican lean in federal contests. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, where Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson faces significant structural barriers after winning a fragmented primary. Capito's fundraising advantage and absence of major recent polling shifts or scandals reinforce trader consensus around her high implied probability. A late-breaking national Democratic wave, health event, or unforeseen controversy could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in comparable West Virginia races.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
音量
$15,886終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito holds a commanding position in the West Virginia Senate race due to her established record, strong primary performance with Trump endorsement, and the state's consistent Republican lean in federal contests. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, where Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson faces significant structural barriers after winning a fragmented primary. Capito's fundraising advantage and absence of major recent polling shifts or scandals reinforce trader consensus around her high implied probability. A late-breaking national Democratic wave, health event, or unforeseen controversy could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in comparable West Virginia races.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$15,886終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito holds a commanding position in the West Virginia Senate race due to her established record, strong primary performance with Trump endorsement, and the state's consistent Republican lean in federal contests. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, where Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson faces significant structural barriers after winning a fragmented primary. Capito's fundraising advantage and absence of major recent polling shifts or scandals reinforce trader consensus around her high implied probability. A late-breaking national Democratic wave, health event, or unforeseen controversy could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in comparable West Virginia races.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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