Market icon

3月9日の記者会見でトランプ氏は何と言うでしょうか?

Market icon

3月9日の記者会見でトランプ氏は何と言うでしょうか?

$639,862 Vol.

Mar 9, 2026
Polymarket

$639,862 Vol.

Polymarket

イラン5回以上

$170,426 Vol.

はい

核を3回以上

$77,416 Vol.

はい

オイル 5回以上

$69,470 Vol.

はい

イスラエル3回以上

$7,734 Vol.

はい

ガス / ガソリン

$4,611 Vol.

はい

フーシ / イエメン

$2,090 Vol.

いいえ

エネルギー

$34,726 Vol.

はい

バイデン

$8,668 Vol.

はい

中東

$3,286 Vol.

はい

ロシア/ロシアの

$1,711 Vol.

はい

中国

$3,944 Vol.

はい

タンカー

$1,767 Vol.

はい

バレル

$1,426 Vol.

はい

ドローン

$5,966 Vol.

はい

シックスセブン

$1,539 Vol.

いいえ

ホルムズ

$6,126 Vol.

はい

ビビ / ネタニヤフ

$103,136 Vol.

いいえ

エイト・ウォー / エイス・ウォー

$101,902 Vol.

いいえ

エピック・フューリー

$6,026 Vol.

はい

クルド/クルド人

$1,333 Vol.

いいえ

ハメネイ / アヤトラ

$10,247 Vol.

いいえ

停戦

$1,444 Vol.

いいえ

AI / 人工知能

$2,039 Vol.

いいえ

オーストラリア / オーストラリアン

$1,569 Vol.

いいえ

イエス

$629 Vol.

いいえ

-該当するイベントなし-

$10,631 Vol.

いいえ

Donald Trump is scheduled to host a press conference on March 9, 2026 at 5:30PM ET (https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-says-he-will-hold-press-conference-monday-2026-03-09/.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the press conference scheduled for March 9, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's press conference scheduled for March 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
音量
$639,862
終了日
Mar 9, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to host a press conference on March 9, 2026 at 5:30PM ET (https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-says-he-will-hold-press-conference-monday-2026-03-09/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the press conference scheduled for March 9, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's press conference scheduled for March 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月9日の記者会見でトランプ氏は何と言うでしょうか? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "イラン5回以上" at 100%, followed by "核を3回以上" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3月9日の記者会見でトランプ氏は何と言うでしょうか? " has generated $639.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3月9日の記者会見でトランプ氏は何と言うでしょうか? ," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月9日の記者会見でトランプ氏は何と言うでしょうか? " is "イラン5回以上" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "核を3回以上" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月9日の記者会見でトランプ氏は何と言うでしょうか? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.