**Trader consensus pricing “No” at 90.7% reflects the narrow window remaining until December 31, 2026, and the absence of any confirmed pathway for a new signatory.** Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession marked the most recent expansion, while prospective candidates face persistent structural hurdles. Saudi Arabia continues to link normalization to a credible Palestinian statehood track, and U.S. nuclear cooperation remains conditioned on Abraham Accords membership without Riyadh committing. Recent comments from Israel’s UAE ambassador floated Kuwait as a possible addition within four to six months—placing any move after the resolution date—while domestic political constraints in Kuwait and stalled talks with Syria or Lebanon reinforce the timeline challenge. Upgrades to existing ties, such as Morocco’s embassy elevation, do not constitute new accessions. With no scheduled summits or breakthroughs expected before year-end, market pricing aligns with the limited diplomatic momentum observed in the final months of 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
9% 確率
$307,215 Vol.
$307,215 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
9% 確率
$307,215 Vol.
$307,215 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus pricing “No” at 90.7% reflects the narrow window remaining until December 31, 2026, and the absence of any confirmed pathway for a new signatory.** Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession marked the most recent expansion, while prospective candidates face persistent structural hurdles. Saudi Arabia continues to link normalization to a credible Palestinian statehood track, and U.S. nuclear cooperation remains conditioned on Abraham Accords membership without Riyadh committing. Recent comments from Israel’s UAE ambassador floated Kuwait as a possible addition within four to six months—placing any move after the resolution date—while domestic political constraints in Kuwait and stalled talks with Syria or Lebanon reinforce the timeline challenge. Upgrades to existing ties, such as Morocco’s embassy elevation, do not constitute new accessions. With no scheduled summits or breakthroughs expected before year-end, market pricing aligns with the limited diplomatic momentum observed in the final months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
音量
$307,215終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus pricing “No” at 90.7% reflects the narrow window remaining until December 31, 2026, and the absence of any confirmed pathway for a new signatory.** Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession marked the most recent expansion, while prospective candidates face persistent structural hurdles. Saudi Arabia continues to link normalization to a credible Palestinian statehood track, and U.S. nuclear cooperation remains conditioned on Abraham Accords membership without Riyadh committing. Recent comments from Israel’s UAE ambassador floated Kuwait as a possible addition within four to six months—placing any move after the resolution date—while domestic political constraints in Kuwait and stalled talks with Syria or Lebanon reinforce the timeline challenge. Upgrades to existing ties, such as Morocco’s embassy elevation, do not constitute new accessions. With no scheduled summits or breakthroughs expected before year-end, market pricing aligns with the limited diplomatic momentum observed in the final months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$307,215終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus pricing “No” at 90.7% reflects the narrow window remaining until December 31, 2026, and the absence of any confirmed pathway for a new signatory.** Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession marked the most recent expansion, while prospective candidates face persistent structural hurdles. Saudi Arabia continues to link normalization to a credible Palestinian statehood track, and U.S. nuclear cooperation remains conditioned on Abraham Accords membership without Riyadh committing. Recent comments from Israel’s UAE ambassador floated Kuwait as a possible addition within four to six months—placing any move after the resolution date—while domestic political constraints in Kuwait and stalled talks with Syria or Lebanon reinforce the timeline challenge. Upgrades to existing ties, such as Morocco’s embassy elevation, do not constitute new accessions. With no scheduled summits or breakthroughs expected before year-end, market pricing aligns with the limited diplomatic momentum observed in the final months of 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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