U.S. policy has consistently emphasized support for Israel and Gaza stabilization efforts from positions outside the enclave, with multiple official statements in 2025 confirming deployments of up to 200 personnel to Israel for coordination and monitoring but explicitly ruling out any ground presence inside Gaza. Subsequent adjustments, including mission drawdowns by mid-2026 and challenges in scaling international stabilization forces, have reinforced this boundary. Trader consensus at 89% for No reflects these repeated clarifications from U.S. Central Command and administration sources, alongside broader U.S. military priorities in the region focused on deterrence elsewhere rather than direct intervention in Gaza. Resolution requires active regular U.S. military personnel to enter Gaza territory by December 31, 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
10% 確率
$185,789 Vol.
$185,789 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
10% 確率
$185,789 Vol.
$185,789 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. policy has consistently emphasized support for Israel and Gaza stabilization efforts from positions outside the enclave, with multiple official statements in 2025 confirming deployments of up to 200 personnel to Israel for coordination and monitoring but explicitly ruling out any ground presence inside Gaza. Subsequent adjustments, including mission drawdowns by mid-2026 and challenges in scaling international stabilization forces, have reinforced this boundary. Trader consensus at 89% for No reflects these repeated clarifications from U.S. Central Command and administration sources, alongside broader U.S. military priorities in the region focused on deterrence elsewhere rather than direct intervention in Gaza. Resolution requires active regular U.S. military personnel to enter Gaza territory by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
音量
$185,789終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. policy has consistently emphasized support for Israel and Gaza stabilization efforts from positions outside the enclave, with multiple official statements in 2025 confirming deployments of up to 200 personnel to Israel for coordination and monitoring but explicitly ruling out any ground presence inside Gaza. Subsequent adjustments, including mission drawdowns by mid-2026 and challenges in scaling international stabilization forces, have reinforced this boundary. Trader consensus at 89% for No reflects these repeated clarifications from U.S. Central Command and administration sources, alongside broader U.S. military priorities in the region focused on deterrence elsewhere rather than direct intervention in Gaza. Resolution requires active regular U.S. military personnel to enter Gaza territory by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$185,789終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. policy has consistently emphasized support for Israel and Gaza stabilization efforts from positions outside the enclave, with multiple official statements in 2025 confirming deployments of up to 200 personnel to Israel for coordination and monitoring but explicitly ruling out any ground presence inside Gaza. Subsequent adjustments, including mission drawdowns by mid-2026 and challenges in scaling international stabilization forces, have reinforced this boundary. Trader consensus at 89% for No reflects these repeated clarifications from U.S. Central Command and administration sources, alongside broader U.S. military priorities in the region focused on deterrence elsewhere rather than direct intervention in Gaza. Resolution requires active regular U.S. military personnel to enter Gaza territory by December 31, 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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