Diplomatic engagement and expanded security cooperation between the United States and Panama have addressed concerns over port operations and external influence without altering Panamanian sovereignty over the canal itself. The Panamanian Supreme Court’s January 2026 ruling ended a Hong Kong-linked concession, followed by temporary transfers to other operators, while a bilateral memorandum and the live PANAMAX 2026 exercises have increased joint training and presence under existing neutrality treaty frameworks. These steps align with trader assessments that no military or administrative transfer of control will occur before 2027. Realistic shifts could stem from a sudden, severe escalation in perceived threats to canal neutrality or a breakdown in bilateral relations, though current patterns of negotiated outcomes and Panamanian assertions of authority make such developments improbable in the remaining months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
4% 確率
$166,377 Vol.
$166,377 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
4% 確率
$166,377 Vol.
$166,377 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.Diplomatic engagement and expanded security cooperation between the United States and Panama have addressed concerns over port operations and external influence without altering Panamanian sovereignty over the canal itself. The Panamanian Supreme Court’s January 2026 ruling ended a Hong Kong-linked concession, followed by temporary transfers to other operators, while a bilateral memorandum and the live PANAMAX 2026 exercises have increased joint training and presence under existing neutrality treaty frameworks. These steps align with trader assessments that no military or administrative transfer of control will occur before 2027. Realistic shifts could stem from a sudden, severe escalation in perceived threats to canal neutrality or a breakdown in bilateral relations, though current patterns of negotiated outcomes and Panamanian assertions of authority make such developments improbable in the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ET
音量
$166,377終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.Diplomatic engagement and expanded security cooperation between the United States and Panama have addressed concerns over port operations and external influence without altering Panamanian sovereignty over the canal itself. The Panamanian Supreme Court’s January 2026 ruling ended a Hong Kong-linked concession, followed by temporary transfers to other operators, while a bilateral memorandum and the live PANAMAX 2026 exercises have increased joint training and presence under existing neutrality treaty frameworks. These steps align with trader assessments that no military or administrative transfer of control will occur before 2027. Realistic shifts could stem from a sudden, severe escalation in perceived threats to canal neutrality or a breakdown in bilateral relations, though current patterns of negotiated outcomes and Panamanian assertions of authority make such developments improbable in the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
音量
$166,377終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic engagement and expanded security cooperation between the United States and Panama have addressed concerns over port operations and external influence without altering Panamanian sovereignty over the canal itself. The Panamanian Supreme Court’s January 2026 ruling ended a Hong Kong-linked concession, followed by temporary transfers to other operators, while a bilateral memorandum and the live PANAMAX 2026 exercises have increased joint training and presence under existing neutrality treaty frameworks. These steps align with trader assessments that no military or administrative transfer of control will occur before 2027. Realistic shifts could stem from a sudden, severe escalation in perceived threats to canal neutrality or a breakdown in bilateral relations, though current patterns of negotiated outcomes and Panamanian assertions of authority make such developments improbable in the remaining months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問