OpenAI’s shift toward evolving ChatGPT into a super app with agentic tools, third-party integrations, and unified AI capabilities has kept resources focused on core large language model development and an anticipated IPO rather than a standalone social platform. The company’s brief Sora app experiment—a TikTok-style feed for AI-generated videos—launched in late 2025 but was discontinued by March 2026 after rapid user decline and moderation hurdles, underscoring execution challenges. Early 2026 reports described only a tiny internal team exploring biometric “proof of personhood” features for a potential humans-only network, with no confirmed timeline or public prototype advancing beyond speculation. Traders see limited bandwidth for a full launch by year-end amid competing priorities like GPT model releases and developer platform updates. A surprise pivot or major partnership could still alter the outcome before December.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
8% 確率
$63,083 Vol.
$63,083 Vol.
2026/12/30
はい
8% 確率
$63,083 Vol.
$63,083 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s shift toward evolving ChatGPT into a super app with agentic tools, third-party integrations, and unified AI capabilities has kept resources focused on core large language model development and an anticipated IPO rather than a standalone social platform. The company’s brief Sora app experiment—a TikTok-style feed for AI-generated videos—launched in late 2025 but was discontinued by March 2026 after rapid user decline and moderation hurdles, underscoring execution challenges. Early 2026 reports described only a tiny internal team exploring biometric “proof of personhood” features for a potential humans-only network, with no confirmed timeline or public prototype advancing beyond speculation. Traders see limited bandwidth for a full launch by year-end amid competing priorities like GPT model releases and developer platform updates. A surprise pivot or major partnership could still alter the outcome before December.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
音量
$63,083終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s shift toward evolving ChatGPT into a super app with agentic tools, third-party integrations, and unified AI capabilities has kept resources focused on core large language model development and an anticipated IPO rather than a standalone social platform. The company’s brief Sora app experiment—a TikTok-style feed for AI-generated videos—launched in late 2025 but was discontinued by March 2026 after rapid user decline and moderation hurdles, underscoring execution challenges. Early 2026 reports described only a tiny internal team exploring biometric “proof of personhood” features for a potential humans-only network, with no confirmed timeline or public prototype advancing beyond speculation. Traders see limited bandwidth for a full launch by year-end amid competing priorities like GPT model releases and developer platform updates. A surprise pivot or major partnership could still alter the outcome before December.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$63,083終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s shift toward evolving ChatGPT into a super app with agentic tools, third-party integrations, and unified AI capabilities has kept resources focused on core large language model development and an anticipated IPO rather than a standalone social platform. The company’s brief Sora app experiment—a TikTok-style feed for AI-generated videos—launched in late 2025 but was discontinued by March 2026 after rapid user decline and moderation hurdles, underscoring execution challenges. Early 2026 reports described only a tiny internal team exploring biometric “proof of personhood” features for a potential humans-only network, with no confirmed timeline or public prototype advancing beyond speculation. Traders see limited bandwidth for a full launch by year-end amid competing priorities like GPT model releases and developer platform updates. A surprise pivot or major partnership could still alter the outcome before December.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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