Recent trader sentiment for the best AI model on June 13 reflects significant uncertainty, with "Other" commanding 63% implied probability amid a tight race among frontier large language models. Claude Opus 4.6-thinking leads named options at 37.7% due to its strong real-world coding performance on benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, where Anthropic's iterative 4.x releases have maintained an edge since February. However, Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro remains competitive on reasoning and efficiency metrics, while the May 28 launch of Claude Opus 4.8 has not yet produced decisive leaderboard shifts. No major new model releases have occurred in the past week, leaving room for rapid changes from minor updates, arena voting fluctuations, or unlisted entrants before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트기타 63.1%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 37.7%
claude-opus-4-6 <1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking <1%
$26,785 거래량
$26,785 거래량
2026.06.13
기타
63%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
38%
claude-opus-4-6
<1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
<1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
<1%
gemini-3.5-flash
<1%
기타 63.1%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 37.7%
claude-opus-4-6 <1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking <1%
$26,785 거래량
$26,785 거래량
2026.06.13
기타
$11,132 거래량
63%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
$7,858 거래량
38%
claude-opus-4-6
$4,033 거래량
<1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
$1,814 거래량
<1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
$1,090 거래량
<1%
gemini-3.5-flash
$858 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent trader sentiment for the best AI model on June 13 reflects significant uncertainty, with "Other" commanding 63% implied probability amid a tight race among frontier large language models. Claude Opus 4.6-thinking leads named options at 37.7% due to its strong real-world coding performance on benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, where Anthropic's iterative 4.x releases have maintained an edge since February. However, Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro remains competitive on reasoning and efficiency metrics, while the May 28 launch of Claude Opus 4.8 has not yet produced decisive leaderboard shifts. No major new model releases have occurred in the past week, leaving room for rapid changes from minor updates, arena voting fluctuations, or unlisted entrants before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Jun 5, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
거래량
$26,785종료일
2026.06.13마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent trader sentiment for the best AI model on June 13 reflects significant uncertainty, with "Other" commanding 63% implied probability amid a tight race among frontier large language models. Claude Opus 4.6-thinking leads named options at 37.7% due to its strong real-world coding performance on benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, where Anthropic's iterative 4.x releases have maintained an edge since February. However, Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro remains competitive on reasoning and efficiency metrics, while the May 28 launch of Claude Opus 4.8 has not yet produced decisive leaderboard shifts. No major new model releases have occurred in the past week, leaving room for rapid changes from minor updates, arena voting fluctuations, or unlisted entrants before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
거래량
$26,785종료일
2026.06.13마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent trader sentiment for the best AI model on June 13 reflects significant uncertainty, with "Other" commanding 63% implied probability amid a tight race among frontier large language models. Claude Opus 4.6-thinking leads named options at 37.7% due to its strong real-world coding performance on benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, where Anthropic's iterative 4.x releases have maintained an edge since February. However, Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro remains competitive on reasoning and efficiency metrics, while the May 28 launch of Claude Opus 4.8 has not yet produced decisive leaderboard shifts. No major new model releases have occurred in the past week, leaving room for rapid changes from minor updates, arena voting fluctuations, or unlisted entrants before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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