Trader consensus favors "No" at 62.5% implied probability for Greta Thunberg facing arrest by June 30, reflecting her history of brief police detentions during civil disobedience protests—such as the December 2025 London arrest under the Terrorism Act for supporting proscribed group Palestine Action, from which she was quickly released without confirmed charges—but no notable activism or legal pressures in recent months. Absent announcements of upcoming direct actions like flotillas or blockades, as seen in prior Israel-Gaza attempts, odds remain tilted against an incident in the next 10 weeks, though her involvement in pro-Palestine or climate demonstrations could prompt rapid shifts amid heightened scrutiny of such events.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$66,218 거래량
$66,218 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$66,218 거래량
$66,218 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 62.5% implied probability for Greta Thunberg facing arrest by June 30, reflecting her history of brief police detentions during civil disobedience protests—such as the December 2025 London arrest under the Terrorism Act for supporting proscribed group Palestine Action, from which she was quickly released without confirmed charges—but no notable activism or legal pressures in recent months. Absent announcements of upcoming direct actions like flotillas or blockades, as seen in prior Israel-Gaza attempts, odds remain tilted against an incident in the next 10 weeks, though her involvement in pro-Palestine or climate demonstrations could prompt rapid shifts amid heightened scrutiny of such events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
거래량
$66,218종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Feb 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 62.5% implied probability for Greta Thunberg facing arrest by June 30, reflecting her history of brief police detentions during civil disobedience protests—such as the December 2025 London arrest under the Terrorism Act for supporting proscribed group Palestine Action, from which she was quickly released without confirmed charges—but no notable activism or legal pressures in recent months. Absent announcements of upcoming direct actions like flotillas or blockades, as seen in prior Israel-Gaza attempts, odds remain tilted against an incident in the next 10 weeks, though her involvement in pro-Palestine or climate demonstrations could prompt rapid shifts amid heightened scrutiny of such events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$66,218종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Feb 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 62.5% implied probability for Greta Thunberg facing arrest by June 30, reflecting her history of brief police detentions during civil disobedience protests—such as the December 2025 London arrest under the Terrorism Act for supporting proscribed group Palestine Action, from which she was quickly released without confirmed charges—but no notable activism or legal pressures in recent months. Absent announcements of upcoming direct actions like flotillas or blockades, as seen in prior Israel-Gaza attempts, odds remain tilted against an incident in the next 10 weeks, though her involvement in pro-Palestine or climate demonstrations could prompt rapid shifts amid heightened scrutiny of such events.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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