Trader consensus favors "No" at 58% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any formal signed normalization agreements under the Abraham Accords framework since the November 2025 Kazakhstan announcement—which failed Polymarket's strict criteria requiring public bilateral acknowledgment by Israel and the new signatory, despite presidential speeches. Saudi Arabia expressed interest in joining during Crown Prince MBS's November 2025 White House talks but conditioned it on a clear path to Palestinian statehood, with President Trump's March 2026 Miami speech urging Riyadh underscoring ongoing hurdles. Syrian President Sharaa ruled out participation, while unconfirmed Somaliland prospects lead related markets without diplomatic breakthroughs amid regional tensions. No major developments in the past 30 days sustain trader skepticism ahead of the December 31, 2026, deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$98,907 거래량
$98,907 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$98,907 거래량
$98,907 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 58% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any formal signed normalization agreements under the Abraham Accords framework since the November 2025 Kazakhstan announcement—which failed Polymarket's strict criteria requiring public bilateral acknowledgment by Israel and the new signatory, despite presidential speeches. Saudi Arabia expressed interest in joining during Crown Prince MBS's November 2025 White House talks but conditioned it on a clear path to Palestinian statehood, with President Trump's March 2026 Miami speech urging Riyadh underscoring ongoing hurdles. Syrian President Sharaa ruled out participation, while unconfirmed Somaliland prospects lead related markets without diplomatic breakthroughs amid regional tensions. No major developments in the past 30 days sustain trader skepticism ahead of the December 31, 2026, deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
거래량
$98,907종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 58% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any formal signed normalization agreements under the Abraham Accords framework since the November 2025 Kazakhstan announcement—which failed Polymarket's strict criteria requiring public bilateral acknowledgment by Israel and the new signatory, despite presidential speeches. Saudi Arabia expressed interest in joining during Crown Prince MBS's November 2025 White House talks but conditioned it on a clear path to Palestinian statehood, with President Trump's March 2026 Miami speech urging Riyadh underscoring ongoing hurdles. Syrian President Sharaa ruled out participation, while unconfirmed Somaliland prospects lead related markets without diplomatic breakthroughs amid regional tensions. No major developments in the past 30 days sustain trader skepticism ahead of the December 31, 2026, deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$98,907종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 58% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any formal signed normalization agreements under the Abraham Accords framework since the November 2025 Kazakhstan announcement—which failed Polymarket's strict criteria requiring public bilateral acknowledgment by Israel and the new signatory, despite presidential speeches. Saudi Arabia expressed interest in joining during Crown Prince MBS's November 2025 White House talks but conditioned it on a clear path to Palestinian statehood, with President Trump's March 2026 Miami speech urging Riyadh underscoring ongoing hurdles. Syrian President Sharaa ruled out participation, while unconfirmed Somaliland prospects lead related markets without diplomatic breakthroughs amid regional tensions. No major developments in the past 30 days sustain trader skepticism ahead of the December 31, 2026, deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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