Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's final prison term, with "No Prison Time" edging out at 34.6% amid a tight race featuring 10-20 years (25.6%) and 20-30 years (24.3%), driven by his ongoing New York rape retrial that kicked off April 14 after a prior deadlocked jury. His standing 16-year California rape conviction—upheld despite appeals—anchors mid-range odds, but January plea negotiations, a February legal team switch, and March interviews decrying Rikers Island "hell" amid failing health at age 73 fuel release bets. Key differentiators include retrial verdict potential (up to four more years on rape), a prior 2025 sexual assault win (max 25 years), and #MeToo legal precedents favoring upsets. Watch trial testimony for momentum shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트하비 와인스타인 교도소 시간?
하비 와인스타인 교도소 시간?
징역형 없음 34.7%
10~20년 25.6%
20-30년 24.3%
30년 이상 6.9%
$833,186 거래량
$833,186 거래량
2025.12.31
징역형 없음
35%
5년 미만
3%
5-10년
4%
10~20년
26%
20-30년
24%
30년 이상
7%
징역형 없음 34.7%
10~20년 25.6%
20-30년 24.3%
30년 이상 6.9%
$833,186 거래량
$833,186 거래량
2025.12.31
징역형 없음
$317,744 거래량
35%
5년 미만
$92,942 거래량
3%
5-10년
$51,887 거래량
4%
10~20년
$138,163 거래량
26%
20-30년
$177,698 거래량
24%
30년 이상
$54,751 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's final prison term, with "No Prison Time" edging out at 34.6% amid a tight race featuring 10-20 years (25.6%) and 20-30 years (24.3%), driven by his ongoing New York rape retrial that kicked off April 14 after a prior deadlocked jury. His standing 16-year California rape conviction—upheld despite appeals—anchors mid-range odds, but January plea negotiations, a February legal team switch, and March interviews decrying Rikers Island "hell" amid failing health at age 73 fuel release bets. Key differentiators include retrial verdict potential (up to four more years on rape), a prior 2025 sexual assault win (max 25 years), and #MeToo legal precedents favoring upsets. Watch trial testimony for momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
거래량
$833,186종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's final prison term, with "No Prison Time" edging out at 34.6% amid a tight race featuring 10-20 years (25.6%) and 20-30 years (24.3%), driven by his ongoing New York rape retrial that kicked off April 14 after a prior deadlocked jury. His standing 16-year California rape conviction—upheld despite appeals—anchors mid-range odds, but January plea negotiations, a February legal team switch, and March interviews decrying Rikers Island "hell" amid failing health at age 73 fuel release bets. Key differentiators include retrial verdict potential (up to four more years on rape), a prior 2025 sexual assault win (max 25 years), and #MeToo legal precedents favoring upsets. Watch trial testimony for momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$833,186종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's final prison term, with "No Prison Time" edging out at 34.6% amid a tight race featuring 10-20 years (25.6%) and 20-30 years (24.3%), driven by his ongoing New York rape retrial that kicked off April 14 after a prior deadlocked jury. His standing 16-year California rape conviction—upheld despite appeals—anchors mid-range odds, but January plea negotiations, a February legal team switch, and March interviews decrying Rikers Island "hell" amid failing health at age 73 fuel release bets. Key differentiators include retrial verdict potential (up to four more years on rape), a prior 2025 sexual assault win (max 25 years), and #MeToo legal precedents favoring upsets. Watch trial testimony for momentum shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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