Microsoft's share price has traded near $390 amid recent weakness, with the stock down roughly 17% year-to-date as of mid-June 2026 despite solid cloud and AI revenue growth in prior quarters. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the highest implied probabilities to the $380–$400 closing ranges for the week of June 15, reflecting current levels and limited immediate catalysts beyond ongoing macroeconomic influences on tech valuations. Competitive dynamics among the closely matched $380–$390, $390–$400, and $400–$410 outcomes highlight uncertainty over short-term momentum, with volume patterns and sector rotation serving as key swing factors ahead of the Friday settlement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$390-$400 43%
<$350 41%
$380-$390 41%
$410-$420 27%
신규
신규
2026.06.19
<$350
41%
$350-$360
6%
$360-$370
11%
$370-$380
12%
$380-$390
41%
$390-$400
43%
$400-$410
22%
$410-$420
27%
$420-$430
8%
$430-$440
3%
>$440
3%
$390-$400 43%
<$350 41%
$380-$390 41%
$410-$420 27%
신규
신규
2026.06.19
<$350
$21 거래량
41%
$350-$360
$0 거래량
6%
$360-$370
$0 거래량
11%
$370-$380
$0 거래량
12%
$380-$390
$0 거래량
41%
$390-$400
$0 거래량
43%
$400-$410
$0 거래량
22%
$410-$420
$0 거래량
27%
$420-$430
$0 거래량
8%
$430-$440
$49 거래량
3%
>$440
$34 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft's share price has traded near $390 amid recent weakness, with the stock down roughly 17% year-to-date as of mid-June 2026 despite solid cloud and AI revenue growth in prior quarters. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the highest implied probabilities to the $380–$400 closing ranges for the week of June 15, reflecting current levels and limited immediate catalysts beyond ongoing macroeconomic influences on tech valuations. Competitive dynamics among the closely matched $380–$390, $390–$400, and $400–$410 outcomes highlight uncertainty over short-term momentum, with volume patterns and sector rotation serving as key swing factors ahead of the Friday settlement.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
거래량
$104종료일
2026.06.19마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 6:23 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft's share price has traded near $390 amid recent weakness, with the stock down roughly 17% year-to-date as of mid-June 2026 despite solid cloud and AI revenue growth in prior quarters. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the highest implied probabilities to the $380–$400 closing ranges for the week of June 15, reflecting current levels and limited immediate catalysts beyond ongoing macroeconomic influences on tech valuations. Competitive dynamics among the closely matched $380–$390, $390–$400, and $400–$410 outcomes highlight uncertainty over short-term momentum, with volume patterns and sector rotation serving as key swing factors ahead of the Friday settlement.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
거래량
$104종료일
2026.06.19마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 6:23 PM ETMicrosoft's share price has traded near $390 amid recent weakness, with the stock down roughly 17% year-to-date as of mid-June 2026 despite solid cloud and AI revenue growth in prior quarters. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the highest implied probabilities to the $380–$400 closing ranges for the week of June 15, reflecting current levels and limited immediate catalysts beyond ongoing macroeconomic influences on tech valuations. Competitive dynamics among the closely matched $380–$390, $390–$400, and $400–$410 outcomes highlight uncertainty over short-term momentum, with volume patterns and sector rotation serving as key swing factors ahead of the Friday settlement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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