Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen anytime soon at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting the lack of any official casting announcement for Bond 26 amid ongoing script development by Steven Knight without a lead in mind, as confirmed by producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson. Callum Turner's 20.5% positioning stems from persistent industry whispers since February 2026—when he coyly sidestepped queries at the Berlin Film Festival—and a mid-March surge in betting odds that briefly crowned him favorite, fueled by reports of him confiding selection to friends. Aaron Taylor-Johnson's faded 4.5% follows cooled momentum from his long-standing 2024-2025 buzz, resurfaced briefly in March red-carpet speculation but dismissed by insiders post-Amazon MGM acquisition. Expect shifts with potential 2026 casting reveals or director Denis Villeneuve's involvement updates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트다음 제임스 본드 배우는?
다음 제임스 본드 배우는?
본드 선정 안 됨 65%
캘럼 터너 21%
아론 테일러-존슨 4.5%
헨리 카빌 1.9%
$1,797,235 거래량
$1,797,235 거래량
본드 선정 안 됨
65%
캘럼 터너
21%
아론 테일러-존슨
5%
헨리 카빌
2%
제이콥 엘로디
2%
테오 제임스
1%
폴 메스칼
1%
조쉬 오코너
1%
톰 하디
1%
잭 로우든
<1%
해리스 딕킨슨
<1%
제임스 노튼
<1%
톰 홀랜드
<1%
피어스 브로스넌
<1%
로버트 제임스-콜리어
<1%
본드 선정 안 됨 65%
캘럼 터너 21%
아론 테일러-존슨 4.5%
헨리 카빌 1.9%
$1,797,235 거래량
$1,797,235 거래량
본드 선정 안 됨
65%
캘럼 터너
21%
아론 테일러-존슨
5%
헨리 카빌
2%
제이콥 엘로디
2%
테오 제임스
1%
폴 메스칼
1%
조쉬 오코너
1%
톰 하디
1%
잭 로우든
<1%
해리스 딕킨슨
<1%
제임스 노튼
<1%
톰 홀랜드
<1%
피어스 브로스넌
<1%
로버트 제임스-콜리어
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen anytime soon at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting the lack of any official casting announcement for Bond 26 amid ongoing script development by Steven Knight without a lead in mind, as confirmed by producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson. Callum Turner's 20.5% positioning stems from persistent industry whispers since February 2026—when he coyly sidestepped queries at the Berlin Film Festival—and a mid-March surge in betting odds that briefly crowned him favorite, fueled by reports of him confiding selection to friends. Aaron Taylor-Johnson's faded 4.5% follows cooled momentum from his long-standing 2024-2025 buzz, resurfaced briefly in March red-carpet speculation but dismissed by insiders post-Amazon MGM acquisition. Expect shifts with potential 2026 casting reveals or director Denis Villeneuve's involvement updates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문