Trader consensus favors no announcement of a Turkish constitutional referendum in 2026 at 60.5%, reflecting the absence of formal action by the Grand National Assembly despite ongoing preparations. AKP's Constitution Commission finalized a draft in late March for President Erdoğan's review, aimed at a new constitution potentially resetting presidential term limits ahead of 2028 elections, but no bill has been introduced requiring the 360-vote supermajority to trigger a referendum. Ally MHP leader Bahçeli's long-standing push persists, yet opposition from CHP and others, coupled with the coalition's roughly 330 seats short of threshold, stalls progress. No major developments since early 2026 parliamentary seat gains heighten doubts as the December deadline nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.12.31
신규
신규
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors no announcement of a Turkish constitutional referendum in 2026 at 60.5%, reflecting the absence of formal action by the Grand National Assembly despite ongoing preparations. AKP's Constitution Commission finalized a draft in late March for President Erdoğan's review, aimed at a new constitution potentially resetting presidential term limits ahead of 2028 elections, but no bill has been introduced requiring the 360-vote supermajority to trigger a referendum. Ally MHP leader Bahçeli's long-standing push persists, yet opposition from CHP and others, coupled with the coalition's roughly 330 seats short of threshold, stalls progress. No major developments since early 2026 parliamentary seat gains heighten doubts as the December deadline nears.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
거래량
$269종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors no announcement of a Turkish constitutional referendum in 2026 at 60.5%, reflecting the absence of formal action by the Grand National Assembly despite ongoing preparations. AKP's Constitution Commission finalized a draft in late March for President Erdoğan's review, aimed at a new constitution potentially resetting presidential term limits ahead of 2028 elections, but no bill has been introduced requiring the 360-vote supermajority to trigger a referendum. Ally MHP leader Bahçeli's long-standing push persists, yet opposition from CHP and others, coupled with the coalition's roughly 330 seats short of threshold, stalls progress. No major developments since early 2026 parliamentary seat gains heighten doubts as the December deadline nears.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$269종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors no announcement of a Turkish constitutional referendum in 2026 at 60.5%, reflecting the absence of formal action by the Grand National Assembly despite ongoing preparations. AKP's Constitution Commission finalized a draft in late March for President Erdoğan's review, aimed at a new constitution potentially resetting presidential term limits ahead of 2028 elections, but no bill has been introduced requiring the 360-vote supermajority to trigger a referendum. Ally MHP leader Bahçeli's long-standing push persists, yet opposition from CHP and others, coupled with the coalition's roughly 330 seats short of threshold, stalls progress. No major developments since early 2026 parliamentary seat gains heighten doubts as the December deadline nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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