Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest for Chicago's median home value on April 30, with sub-$336,000 at 45% implied probability edging out the $336,000–$338,000 band at 42%, reflecting uncertainty over persistent low inventory amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.8%. Recent Zillow data pegs March median sale prices at $334,250, up modestly year-over-year but pressured by sluggish sales volume and a 0.99 sale-to-list ratio signaling limited price negotiation power for buyers. Low for-sale inventory (4,645 units) and new listings (1,718) underpin firmness, yet affordability strains from high rates cap upside; spring buying momentum or Federal Reserve signals on cuts could tip the balance higher into the 338k+ ranges by month-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?
What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?
<336k 60%
338 - 340k 18%
340 - 342k 14%
342 - 344k 8.2%
신규
신규
2026.04.30
<336k
44%
336 - 338k
44%
338 - 340k
18%
340 - 342k
14%
342 - 344k
8%
344 - 346k
3%
346 - 348k
3%
>348k
3%
<336k 60%
338 - 340k 18%
340 - 342k 14%
342 - 344k 8.2%
신규
신규
2026.04.30
<336k
$1,317 거래량
44%
336 - 338k
$78 거래량
44%
338 - 340k
$78 거래량
18%
340 - 342k
$155 거래량
14%
342 - 344k
$138 거래량
8%
344 - 346k
$78 거래량
3%
346 - 348k
$78 거래량
3%
>348k
$88 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest for Chicago's median home value on April 30, with sub-$336,000 at 45% implied probability edging out the $336,000–$338,000 band at 42%, reflecting uncertainty over persistent low inventory amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.8%. Recent Zillow data pegs March median sale prices at $334,250, up modestly year-over-year but pressured by sluggish sales volume and a 0.99 sale-to-list ratio signaling limited price negotiation power for buyers. Low for-sale inventory (4,645 units) and new listings (1,718) underpin firmness, yet affordability strains from high rates cap upside; spring buying momentum or Federal Reserve signals on cuts could tip the balance higher into the 338k+ ranges by month-end.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
마켓 개설일: Mar 30, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
거래량
$2,008종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 30, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest for Chicago's median home value on April 30, with sub-$336,000 at 45% implied probability edging out the $336,000–$338,000 band at 42%, reflecting uncertainty over persistent low inventory amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.8%. Recent Zillow data pegs March median sale prices at $334,250, up modestly year-over-year but pressured by sluggish sales volume and a 0.99 sale-to-list ratio signaling limited price negotiation power for buyers. Low for-sale inventory (4,645 units) and new listings (1,718) underpin firmness, yet affordability strains from high rates cap upside; spring buying momentum or Federal Reserve signals on cuts could tip the balance higher into the 338k+ ranges by month-end.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
거래량
$2,008종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 30, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest for Chicago's median home value on April 30, with sub-$336,000 at 45% implied probability edging out the $336,000–$338,000 band at 42%, reflecting uncertainty over persistent low inventory amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.8%. Recent Zillow data pegs March median sale prices at $334,250, up modestly year-over-year but pressured by sluggish sales volume and a 0.99 sale-to-list ratio signaling limited price negotiation power for buyers. Low for-sale inventory (4,645 units) and new listings (1,718) underpin firmness, yet affordability strains from high rates cap upside; spring buying momentum or Federal Reserve signals on cuts could tip the balance higher into the 338k+ ranges by month-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문