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이코노미·하우징·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

Market icon
이코노미·하우징·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

1.226 - 1.244m 43.6%

1.208 - 1.226m 24%

1.172 - 1.19m 10%

1.244 - 1.262m 9.2%

Polymarket
신규

1.226 - 1.244m 43.6%

1.208 - 1.226m 24%

1.172 - 1.19m 10%

1.244 - 1.262m 9.2%

Polymarket
신규

<1.154m

$51 거래량

7%

1.154 - 1.172m

$43 거래량

6%

1.172 - 1.19m

$460 거래량

28%

1.19 - 1.208m

$89 거래량

8%

1.208 - 1.226m

$238 거래량

30%

1.226 - 1.244m

$177 거래량

44%

1.244 - 1.262m

$54 거래량

9%

>1.262m

$48 거래량

6%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race for San Francisco metro median home value on April 30, with the 1.226-1.244 million bin at 43.6% implied probability edging the 1.172-1.19 million range at 37.5%, signaling uncertainty over spring momentum. Surging March 2026 median sale prices—reaching $2.15 million for single-family homes, up 18% year-over-year per Compass data—amid AI-fueled tech wealth and historic inventory lows have boosted sentiment for modest ZHVI appreciation from recent metro levels around $1.14 million. Countering this, persistent 6.5%+ mortgage rates constrain broader buyer participation, while Bay Area listings show mixed trends; key swing factors include April pending sales volume and days-on-market metrics ahead of Zillow's monthly update.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
거래량
$1,161
종료일
2026.04.30
마켓 개설일
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race for San Francisco metro median home value on April 30, with the 1.226-1.244 million bin at 43.6% implied probability edging the 1.172-1.19 million range at 37.5%, signaling uncertainty over spring momentum. Surging March 2026 median sale prices—reaching $2.15 million for single-family homes, up 18% year-over-year per Compass data—amid AI-fueled tech wealth and historic inventory lows have boosted sentiment for modest ZHVI appreciation from recent metro levels around $1.14 million. Countering this, persistent 6.5%+ mortgage rates constrain broader buyer participation, while Bay Area listings show mixed trends; key swing factors include April pending sales volume and days-on-market metrics ahead of Zillow's monthly update.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
거래량
$1,161
종료일
2026.04.30
마켓 개설일
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?"은 8개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 44%의 "1.226 - 1.244m"이며, 이어서 30%의 "1.208 - 1.226m"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 44¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 44%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Mar 30, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 8개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?"의 현재 유력 후보는 44%의 "1.226 - 1.244m"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 44%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 30%의 "1.208 - 1.226m"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.