Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Los Angeles metro area's median home value near $1.18 million by April 30, with the 1.18-1.19 million bin leading at 31.5% implied probability amid a tight race against 1.17-1.18 million (25.5%) and below $1.17 million (21.5%). March 2026 data from Realtor.com showed metro median listing prices at $1.096 million, down sharply year-over-year, while Zillow's Home Value Index held typical values around $954,000 with inventory rising and days-on-market extending. Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% curb demand, but spring buying season and stable job growth in tech/entertainment sectors balance downside risks; key swing factors include April new listings and pending sales volume ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?
What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?
1.18 - 1.19m 31%
1.17 - 1.18m 26%
<1.17m 20%
1.19 - 1.2m 17%
<1.17m
20%
1.17 - 1.18m
26%
1.18 - 1.19m
31%
1.19 - 1.2m
17%
1.2 - 1.21m
7%
1.21 - 1.22m
8%
>1.22m
8%
1.18 - 1.19m 31%
1.17 - 1.18m 26%
<1.17m 20%
1.19 - 1.2m 17%
<1.17m
20%
1.17 - 1.18m
26%
1.18 - 1.19m
31%
1.19 - 1.2m
17%
1.2 - 1.21m
7%
1.21 - 1.22m
8%
>1.22m
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
마켓 개설일: Mar 30, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Los Angeles metro area's median home value near $1.18 million by April 30, with the 1.18-1.19 million bin leading at 31.5% implied probability amid a tight race against 1.17-1.18 million (25.5%) and below $1.17 million (21.5%). March 2026 data from Realtor.com showed metro median listing prices at $1.096 million, down sharply year-over-year, while Zillow's Home Value Index held typical values around $954,000 with inventory rising and days-on-market extending. Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% curb demand, but spring buying season and stable job growth in tech/entertainment sectors balance downside risks; key swing factors include April new listings and pending sales volume ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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