Polymarket traders reflect closely contested sentiment with 41.5% implied probability on 582-589k, 33.5% on 589-596k, and 30.0% on 596-603k for New York City median home value on April 30, aggregating to consensus around $590k amid tight inventory and spring demand. March 2026 Parcl Labs data underpinned this positioning, showing Manhattan median apartment sale prices up 5.2% year-over-year to $1.225M despite a 16.7% inventory drop, while citywide resilience offsets steady 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates curbing affordability. Differentiating factors include early April sales mix fluctuations and new listings pace; resolution hinges on final Parcl Labs readout, with low supply favoring modest upside absent rate relief.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트What will the median home value in New York City be on April 30?
What will the median home value in New York City be on April 30?
582 - 589k 37%
589 - 596k 29%
575 - 582k 17.3%
596 - 603k 16%
<568k
1%
568 - 575k
9%
575 - 582k
17%
582 - 589k
43%
589 - 596k
43%
596 - 603k
16%
603 - 610k
4%
>610k
4%
582 - 589k 37%
589 - 596k 29%
575 - 582k 17.3%
596 - 603k 16%
<568k
1%
568 - 575k
9%
575 - 582k
17%
582 - 589k
43%
589 - 596k
43%
596 - 603k
16%
603 - 610k
4%
>610k
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
마켓 개설일: Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders reflect closely contested sentiment with 41.5% implied probability on 582-589k, 33.5% on 589-596k, and 30.0% on 596-603k for New York City median home value on April 30, aggregating to consensus around $590k amid tight inventory and spring demand. March 2026 Parcl Labs data underpinned this positioning, showing Manhattan median apartment sale prices up 5.2% year-over-year to $1.225M despite a 16.7% inventory drop, while citywide resilience offsets steady 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates curbing affordability. Differentiating factors include early April sales mix fluctuations and new listings pace; resolution hinges on final Parcl Labs readout, with low supply favoring modest upside absent rate relief.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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