High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano105-110m 24%
115-120m 15%
120-125m 15%
110-115m 10%
$10,330 Wol.
$10,330 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
<1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
3%
95-100m
1%
100-105m
2%
105-110m
24%
110-115m
10%
115-120m
15%
120-125m
15%
125-130m
8%
130m+
4%
105-110m 24%
115-120m 15%
120-125m 15%
110-115m 10%
$10,330 Wol.
$10,330 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$460 Wol.
<1%
85-90m
$496 Wol.
<1%
90-95m
$1,635 Wol.
3%
95-100m
$315 Wol.
1%
100-105m
$850 Wol.
2%
105-110m
$833 Wol.
24%
110-115m
$673 Wol.
10%
115-120m
$1,152 Wol.
15%
120-125m
$1,818 Wol.
15%
125-130m
$1,373 Wol.
8%
130m+
$726 Wol.
4%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Wolumen
$10,330Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Wolumen
$10,330Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania