Elevated Democratic enthusiasm amid President Trump's low approval ratings and dissatisfaction over economic conditions and foreign policy developments has boosted primary turnout and fueled expectations for stronger overall participation in the November midterms. Recent state primary data show Democratic ballots exceeding prior cycles even in Republican-leaning districts, while expanded mail and early voting options alongside growing youth registration provide a structural floor. Republican efforts focus on targeted mobilization in a narrower map of competitive House seats. With forecasts centering near 47-52% of the voting-eligible population, trader consensus clusters probabilities across the 115-130 million vote range, reflecting uncertainty over whether opposition energy or base mobilization will determine the final tally.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano125-130m 22%
115-120m 20%
120-125m 19%
100-105m 12.3%
$25,661 Wol.
$25,661 Wol.
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
2%
95-100m
6%
100-105m
12%
105-110m
6%
110-115m
12%
115-120m
20%
120-125m
19%
125-130m
22%
130m+
7%
125-130m 22%
115-120m 20%
120-125m 19%
100-105m 12.3%
$25,661 Wol.
$25,661 Wol.
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
2%
95-100m
6%
100-105m
12%
105-110m
6%
110-115m
12%
115-120m
20%
120-125m
19%
125-130m
22%
130m+
7%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Elevated Democratic enthusiasm amid President Trump's low approval ratings and dissatisfaction over economic conditions and foreign policy developments has boosted primary turnout and fueled expectations for stronger overall participation in the November midterms. Recent state primary data show Democratic ballots exceeding prior cycles even in Republican-leaning districts, while expanded mail and early voting options alongside growing youth registration provide a structural floor. Republican efforts focus on targeted mobilization in a narrower map of competitive House seats. With forecasts centering near 47-52% of the voting-eligible population, trader consensus clusters probabilities across the 115-130 million vote range, reflecting uncertainty over whether opposition energy or base mobilization will determine the final tally.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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